IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ora/journl/v1y2013i1p1018-1027.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Role Of Savings Rate In Deepening Macroeconomic Imbalances In China

Author

Listed:
  • Sarlea Mihaela

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,,)

  • Manta Stefan George

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,,)

  • Vaidean Viorela Ligia

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration,,)

Abstract

It is well known that China is a growing power and its impressive economic indicators have been the subject of numerous studies along the years. China's impressive economics growth in the years 2000 based on one hand by an expansionary monetary policy, on other hand by promoting export growth had also brought into discussion another factor: that of the high savings rate. This article brings into light China's high savings rate -household, corporate and governmental- each with its role played in the entire equation of China's growth. There have been a lot of studies concentrating on this relationship between savings rate and economic growth. It appears that, in the case of China there is a positive relationship between high savings and high economic growth at least on the short run. This is due to the national savings rate which contributed to current account surplus that facilitated outflow and inflow of capital. Domestic investments and foreign growth had contributed to rapid economic growth despite the low level of consumption. If we add here the low demand for imported goods and the growth of households saving rate in the last year we have an image of deep macroeconomic imbalances. Furthermore, if we add to this analysis the idea of an external saving rate that proved to grow quicker than the world capacity to absorb this flows we have a vivid image of an empire as "rich country, poor population". This high savings rate in the long run will deepen macroeconomic imbalances. As a spiral this would have to accelerate reforms in the field of pensions, healthcare, social security. On top they would have to encourage the development of the banking system in order to create an image of a powerful country also in the long run. With these internal reforms the savings rate for households will encourage consumption and a normal level of savings, for corporations it will boost investments and for government it will lead to a balance account closer to reality and better use of the incomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarlea Mihaela & Manta Stefan George & Vaidean Viorela Ligia, 2013. "The Role Of Savings Rate In Deepening Macroeconomic Imbalances In China," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 1018-1027, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ora:journl:v:1:y:2013:i:1:p:1018-1027
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://anale.steconomiceuoradea.ro/volume/2013/n1/107.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. De Gregorio, Jose, 1992. "Economic growth in Latin America," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 59-84, July.
    2. Menzie D. Chinn & Shang-Jin Wei, 2013. "A Faith-Based Initiative Meets the Evidence: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(1), pages 168-184, March.
    3. Franco Modigliani & Shi Larry Cao, 2004. "The Chinese Saving Puzzle and the Life-Cycle Hypothesis," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 42(1), pages 145-170, March.
    4. Dennis Tao Yang, 2012. "Aggregate Savings and External Imbalances in China," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 26(4), pages 125-146, Fall.
    5. Liugang Sheng, 2013. "Did China diversify its foreign reserves?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 102-125, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tyers, Rod, 2015. "International effects of China's rise and transition: Neoclassical and Keynesian perspectives," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-19.
    2. Mehlum, Halvor & Torvik, Ragnar & Valente, Simone, 2016. "The savings multiplier," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 90-105.
    3. Tan, Jing & Xu, Hao & Yu, Jingwen, 2022. "The effect of homeownership on migrant household savings: Evidence from the removal of home purchase restrictions in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    4. Shaojie Zhou & Junsen Zhang, 2016. "Chinese Saving Rates from 1953 to 2012: Trends, Compositions and Prospects," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(2), pages 227-252, May.
    5. Nicolas Coeurdacier & Stéphane Guibaud & Keyu Jin, 2015. "Credit Constraints and Growth in a Global Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(9), pages 2838-2881, September.
    6. Steven Lugauer & Jinlan Ni & Zhichao Yin, 2014. "Micro-Data Evidence on Family Size and Chinese Saving Rates," Working Papers 023, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2014.
    7. Chadwick C. Curtis & Steven Lugauer & Nelson C. Mark, 2015. "Demographic Patterns and Household Saving in China," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(2), pages 58-94, April.
    8. Rod Tyers, 2014. "Analysing the Short Run Effects of China’s Economic Reform Agenda," CAMA Working Papers 2014-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    9. Vipin Arora & Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang, 2014. "Reconstructing the Savings Glut: The Global Implications of Asian Excess Saving," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 14-24, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    10. Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang, 2014. "Real exchange rate determination and the China puzzle," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 28(2), pages 1-32, November.
    11. Rod Tyers & Ying Zhang, 2014. "Short Run Effects of The Economic Reform Agenda," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 14-16, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    12. Dennis Tao Yang, 2012. "Aggregate Savings and External Imbalances in China," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 26(4), pages 125-146, Fall.
    13. Gu, Xinhua & Tam, Pui Sun & Li, Guoqiang & Zhao, Qingbin, 2020. "An alternative explanation for high saving in China: Rising inequality," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1082-1094.
    14. Halvor Mehlum & Ragnar Torvik & Simone Valente, 2013. "China s Savings Multiplier," Working Papers No 4/2013, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    15. Chang, Xiao & An, Tongliang & Tam, Pui Sun & Gu, Xinhua, 2020. "National savings rate and sectoral income distribution: An empirical look at China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    16. Xin, Xinyi & Zhang, Anquan & Liu, Lu, 2024. "Study on the influence of Internet finance on urban household savings rate: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 45-61.
    17. Christian Dreger & Tongsan Wang & Yanqun Zhang, 2015. "Understanding Chinese Consumption: The Impact of Hukou," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 46(6), pages 1331-1344, November.
    18. Saten Kumar & Don J. Webber & Geoff Perry, 2012. "Real wages, inflation and labour productivity in Australia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(23), pages 2945-2954, August.
    19. Mark Rosenzweig & Junsen Zhang, 2014. "Co-residence, Life-Cycle Savings and Inter- Generational Support in Urban China," Working Papers 1039, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    20. Song, Quanyun & Li, Jie & Wu, Yu & Yin, Zhichao, 2020. "Accessibility of financial services and household consumption in China: Evidence from micro data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    savings rate; current account; monetary policy; macroeconomic imbalances;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ora:journl:v:1:y:2013:i:1:p:1018-1027. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catalin ZMOLE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feoraro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.