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Restarting real economic convergence in CESEE

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Economic transition, European integration and EU membership have spurred an unprecedented process of social, political and economic modernization in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE). Economic catching-up, however, has slowed since the Great Recession of 2008. Potential growth rates moderated notably and have not yet returned to the dynamism of the early 2000s. After providing a short overview of the status quo of transition in the 11 CESEE EU Member States2, this study elaborates on the reasons for weakening potential growth by focusing on the contributions of labor, capital and productivity to potential output. At the same time, we try to identify the most suitable policy options to reaccelerate economic dynamics in CESEE in the medium term.

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  • Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald & Josef Schreiner, 2018. "Restarting real economic convergence in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3-18, pages 10-23.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfi:y:2018:i:q3-18:b:1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chiara Pronzato, 2017. "Fertility decisions and alternative types of childcare," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 382-382, September.
    2. Joëlle Sleebos, 2003. "Low Fertility Rates in OECD Countries: Facts and Policy Responses," OECD Labour Market and Social Policy Occasional Papers 15, OECD Publishing.
    3. Otrachshenko, Vladimir & Popova, Olga, 2014. "Life (dis)satisfaction and the intention to migrate: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 40-49.
    4. Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald & Josef Schreiner & Julia Wörz, 2017. "Competitiveness of CESEE EU Member States: recent trends and prospects," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3/17, pages 31-41.
    5. Rocc L. Bubbico & Miroslav Kollar & Tomáš Slacík, 2018. "Structural investment needs in CESEE and the use of EU funds," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3-18, pages 87-101.
    6. Zoltan Arokszallasi & Juraj Kotian & Katarzyna Rzentarzewska, 2018. "Digitalization and higher R&D readiness – way to foster income convergence in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3-18, pages 34-42.
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    1. Dimitar Eftimoski, 2020. "Some new insights on economic convergence and growth in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(4), pages 863-884, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central; Eastern and Southeastern Europe; convergence; potential growth; demography;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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