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The enduring world forest carbon sink

Author

Listed:
  • Yude Pan

    (USDA Forest Service)

  • Richard A. Birdsey

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Oliver L. Phillips

    (University of Leeds)

  • Richard A. Houghton

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Jingyun Fang

    (Peking University)

  • Pekka E. Kauppi

    (University of Helsinki
    Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Heather Keith

    (Griffith University)

  • Werner A. Kurz

    (Canadian Forest Service)

  • Akihiko Ito

    (The University of Tokyo)

  • Simon L. Lewis

    (University of Leeds
    University College London)

  • Gert-Jan Nabuurs

    (Wageningen University & Research
    Wageningen University & Research)

  • Anatoly Shvidenko

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA))

  • Shoji Hashimoto

    (The University of Tokyo
    Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute)

  • Bas Lerink

    (Wageningen University & Research)

  • Dmitry Schepaschenko

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA))

  • Andrea Castanho

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Daniel Murdiyarso

    (IPB University
    Center for International Forestry Research – World Agroforestry)

Abstract

The uptake of carbon dioxide (CO2) by terrestrial ecosystems is critical for moderating climate change1. To provide a ground-based long-term assessment of the contribution of forests to terrestrial CO2 uptake, we synthesized in situ forest data from boreal, temperate and tropical biomes spanning three decades. We found that the carbon sink in global forests was steady, at 3.6 ± 0.4 Pg C yr−1 in the 1990s and 2000s, and 3.5 ± 0.4 Pg C yr−1 in the 2010s. Despite this global stability, our analysis revealed some major biome-level changes. Carbon sinks have increased in temperate (+30 ± 5%) and tropical regrowth (+29 ± 8%) forests owing to increases in forest area, but they decreased in boreal (−36 ± 6%) and tropical intact (−31 ± 7%) forests, as a result of intensified disturbances and losses in intact forest area, respectively. Mass-balance studies indicate that the global land carbon sink has increased2, implying an increase in the non-forest-land carbon sink. The global forest sink is equivalent to almost half of fossil-fuel emissions (7.8 ± 0.4 Pg C yr−1 in 1990–2019). However, two-thirds of the benefit from the sink has been negated by tropical deforestation (2.2 ± 0.5 Pg C yr−1 in 1990–2019). Although the global forest sink has endured undiminished for three decades, despite regional variations, it could be weakened by ageing forests, continuing deforestation and further intensification of disturbance regimes1. To protect the carbon sink, land management policies are needed to limit deforestation, promote forest restoration and improve timber-harvesting practices1,3.

Suggested Citation

  • Yude Pan & Richard A. Birdsey & Oliver L. Phillips & Richard A. Houghton & Jingyun Fang & Pekka E. Kauppi & Heather Keith & Werner A. Kurz & Akihiko Ito & Simon L. Lewis & Gert-Jan Nabuurs & Anatoly S, 2024. "The enduring world forest carbon sink," Nature, Nature, vol. 631(8021), pages 563-569, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:631:y:2024:i:8021:d:10.1038_s41586-024-07602-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-07602-x
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    Cited by:

    1. Chao Yue & Mengyang Xu & Philippe Ciais & Shu Tao & Huizhong Shen & Jinfeng Chang & Wei Li & Lei Deng & Junhao He & Yi Leng & Yu Li & Jiaming Wang & Can Xu & Han Zhang & Pengyi Zhang & Liankai Zhang &, 2024. "Contributions of ecological restoration policies to China’s land carbon balance," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.

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