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Atmospheric CO2 forces abrupt vegetation shifts locally, but not globally

Author

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  • Steven I. Higgins

    (Institut für Physische Geographie, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Altenhöferallee 1, 60438 Frankfurt am Main, Germany)

  • Simon Scheiter

    (Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F), Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung, Senckenberganlage 25, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany)

Abstract

A model of the effects of climate change on African vegetation from 1850 to 2100 predicts increases in woody plant cover, but considerable heterogeneity in the timing of these shifts dampens the shock that these changes in land-surface properties may represent to the Earth system.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven I. Higgins & Simon Scheiter, 2012. "Atmospheric CO2 forces abrupt vegetation shifts locally, but not globally," Nature, Nature, vol. 488(7410), pages 209-212, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:488:y:2012:i:7410:d:10.1038_nature11238
    DOI: 10.1038/nature11238
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Scheiter, Simon & Schulte, Judith & Pfeiffer, Mirjam & Martens, Carola & Erasmus, Barend F.N. & Twine, Wayne C., 2019. "How Does Climate Change Influence the Economic Value of Ecosystem Services in Savanna Rangelands?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 342-356.
    2. Scheiter, Simon & Savadogo, Patrice, 2016. "Ecosystem management can mitigate vegetation shifts induced by climate change in West Africa," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 332(C), pages 19-27.
    3. Cecilia Parracciani & Robert Buitenwerf & Jens-Christian Svenning, 2023. "Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation in Kenya: Future Projections and Implications for Protected Areas," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, November.
    4. Blanco, Carolina Casagrande & Scheiter, Simon & Sosinski, Enio & Fidelis, Alessandra & Anand, Madhur & Pillar, Valério D., 2014. "Feedbacks between vegetation and disturbance processes promote long-term persistence of forest–grassland mosaics in south Brazil," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 291(C), pages 224-232.
    5. Pfeiffer, Mirjam & Langan, Liam & Linstädter, Anja & Martens, Carola & Gaillard, Camille & Ruppert, Jan C. & Higgins, Steven I. & Mudongo, Edwin I. & Scheiter, Simon, 2019. "Grazing and aridity reduce perennial grass abundance in semi-arid rangelands – Insights from a trait-based dynamic vegetation model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 395(C), pages 11-22.
    6. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta, 2016. "Robustness analysis: Deconstructing computational models for ecological theory and applications," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 162-167.
    7. Katherine Dagon & Daniel P. Schrag, 2019. "Quantifying the effects of solar geoengineering on vegetation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 235-251, March.
    8. Bunting, Erin L. & Fullman, Timothy & Kiker, Gregory & Southworth, Jane, 2016. "Utilization of the SAVANNA model to analyze future patterns of vegetation cover in Kruger National Park under changing climate," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 342(C), pages 147-160.
    9. Synodinos, Alexis D. & Tietjen, Britta & Jeltsch, Florian, 2015. "Facilitation in drylands: Modeling a neglected driver of savanna dynamics," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 304(C), pages 11-21.
    10. Pinki Mondal & Sonali Shukla McDermid, 2021. "Editorial for Special Issue: “Global Vegetation and Land Surface Dynamics in a Changing Climate”," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-4, January.
    11. Christian Berger & Mari Bieri & Karen Bradshaw & Christian Brümmer & Thomas Clemen & Thomas Hickler & Werner Leo Kutsch & Ulfia A. Lenfers & Carola Martens & Guy F. Midgley & Kanisios Mukwashi & Victo, 2019. "Linking scales and disciplines: an interdisciplinary cross-scale approach to supporting climate-relevant ecosystem management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 139-150, September.

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