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High-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding

Author

Listed:
  • Husain Najafi

    (UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research)

  • Pallav Kumar Shrestha

    (UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
    University of Potsdam, Institute of Environmental Science and Geography)

  • Oldrich Rakovec

    (UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
    Czech University of Life Sciences Prague)

  • Heiko Apel

    (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Section Hydrology)

  • Sergiy Vorogushyn

    (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Section Hydrology)

  • Rohini Kumar

    (UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research)

  • Stephan Thober

    (UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research)

  • Bruno Merz

    (University of Potsdam, Institute of Environmental Science and Geography
    GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Section Hydrology)

  • Luis Samaniego

    (UFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
    University of Potsdam, Institute of Environmental Science and Geography)

Abstract

Despite considerable advances in flood forecasting during recent decades, state-of-the-art, operational flood early warning systems (FEWS) need to be equipped with near-real-time inundation and impact forecasts and their associated uncertainties. High-resolution, impact-based flood forecasts provide insightful information for better-informed decisions and tailored emergency actions. Valuable information can now be provided to local authorities for risk-based decision-making by utilising high-resolution lead-time maps and potential impacts to buildings and infrastructures. Here, we demonstrate a comprehensive floodplain inundation hindcast of the 2021 European Summer Flood illustrating these possibilities for better disaster preparedness, offering a 17-hour lead time for informed and advisable actions.

Suggested Citation

  • Husain Najafi & Pallav Kumar Shrestha & Oldrich Rakovec & Heiko Apel & Sergiy Vorogushyn & Rohini Kumar & Stephan Thober & Bruno Merz & Luis Samaniego, 2024. "High-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-48065-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-48065-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Jun Rentschler & Melda Salhab & Bramka Arga Jafino, 2022. "Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
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