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Cement substitution with secondary materials can reduce annual global CO2 emissions by up to 1.3 gigatons

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  • Izhar Hussain Shah

    (Imperial College London)

  • Sabbie A. Miller

    (University of California)

  • Daqian Jiang

    (University of Alabama)

  • Rupert J. Myers

    (Imperial College London)

Abstract

Population and development megatrends will drive growth in cement production, which is already one of the most challenging-to-mitigate sources of CO2 emissions. However, availabilities of conventional secondary cementitious materials (CMs) like fly ash are declining. Here, we present detailed generation rates of secondary CMs worldwide between 2002 and 2018, showing the potential for 3.5 Gt to be generated in 2018. Maximal substitution of Portland cement clinker with these materials could have avoided up to 1.3 Gt CO2-eq. emissions (~44% of cement production and ~2.8% of anthropogenic CO2-eq. emissions) in 2018. We also show that nearly all of the highest cement producing nations can locally generate and use secondary CMs to substitute up to 50% domestic Portland cement clinker, with many countries able to potentially substitute 100% Portland cement clinker. Our results highlight the importance of pursuing regionally optimized CM mix designs and systemic approaches to decarbonizing the global CMs cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Izhar Hussain Shah & Sabbie A. Miller & Daqian Jiang & Rupert J. Myers, 2022. "Cement substitution with secondary materials can reduce annual global CO2 emissions by up to 1.3 gigatons," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-33289-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33289-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Sabbie A. Miller & Arpad Horvath & Paulo J. M. Monteiro, 2018. "Impacts of booming concrete production on water resources worldwide," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(1), pages 69-76, January.
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    8. Sarah Pamenter & Rupert J. Myers, 2021. "Decarbonizing the cementitious materials cycle: A whole‐systems review of measures to decarbonize the cement supply chain in the UK and European contexts," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(2), pages 359-376, April.
    9. Davis, Steven J & Lewis, Nathan S. & Shaner, Matthew & Aggarwal, Sonia & Arent, Doug & Azevedo, Inês & Benson, Sally & Bradley, Thomas & Brouwer, Jack & Chiang, Yet-Ming & Clack, Christopher T.M. & Co, 2018. "Net-Zero Emissions Energy Systems," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt7qv6q35r, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
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    Cited by:

    1. Takuma Watari & André Cabrera Serrenho & Lukas Gast & Jonathan Cullen & Julian Allwood, 2023. "Feasible supply of steel and cement within a carbon budget is likely to fall short of expected global demand," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Josefine A. Olsson & Sabbie A. Miller & Mark G. Alexander, 2023. "Near-term pathways for decarbonizing global concrete production," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.

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