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Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown

Author

Listed:
  • John C. Fyfe

    (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria)

  • Gerald A. Meehl

    (National Center for Atmospheric Research)

  • Matthew H. England

    (ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales)

  • Michael E. Mann

    (Pennsylvania State University)

  • Benjamin D. Santer

    (Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory)

  • Gregory M. Flato

    (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria)

  • Ed Hawkins

    (National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading)

  • Nathan P. Gillett

    (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria)

  • Shang-Ping Xie

    (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego)

  • Yu Kosaka

    (Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, University of Tokyo)

  • Neil C. Swart

    (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria)

Abstract

It has been claimed that the early-2000s global warming slowdown or hiatus, characterized by a reduced rate of global surface warming, has been overstated, lacks sound scientific basis, or is unsupported by observations. The evidence presented here contradicts these claims.

Suggested Citation

  • John C. Fyfe & Gerald A. Meehl & Matthew H. England & Michael E. Mann & Benjamin D. Santer & Gregory M. Flato & Ed Hawkins & Nathan P. Gillett & Shang-Ping Xie & Yu Kosaka & Neil C. Swart, 2016. "Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(3), pages 224-228, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:6:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1038_nclimate2938
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2938
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bruns, Stephan B. & Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Stern, David I., 2020. "A multicointegration model of global climate change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 175-197.
    2. Kim, Dukpa & Oka, Tatsushi & Estrada, Francisco & Perron, Pierre, 2020. "Inference related to common breaks in a multivariate system with joined segmented trends with applications to global and hemispheric temperatures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 130-152.
    3. Dukpa Kim & Tatsushi Oka & Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Inference Related to Common Breaks in a Multivariate System with Joined Segmented Trends with Applications to Global and Hemispheric Temperatures," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2017-003, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    4. Pierre Perron & Eduardo Zorita & Francisco Estrada & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Extracting and Analyzing the Warming Trend in Global and Hemispheric Temperatures," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 711-732, September.
    5. Michael R. Grose & James S. Risbey & Penny H. Whetton, 2017. "Tracking regional temperature projections from the early 1990s in light of variations in regional warming, including ‘warming holes’," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(2), pages 307-322, January.
    6. Gary Froyland & Dimitrios Giannakis & Edoardo Luna & Joanna Slawinska, 2024. "Revealing trends and persistent cycles of non-autonomous systems with autonomous operator-theoretic techniques," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
    7. Andrew W. Ellis & Michael L. Marston, 2020. "Late 1990s’ cool season climate shift in eastern North America," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1385-1398, October.
    8. Francisco Estrada & Luis Filipe Martins & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Characterizing and attributing the warming trend in sea and land surface temperatures," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2017-009, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    9. Xiaoying Ouyang & Dongmei Chen & Shugui Zhou & Rui Zhang & Jinxin Yang & Guangcheng Hu & Youjun Dou & Qinhuo Liu, 2021. "A Slight Temperature Warming Trend Occurred over Lake Ontario from 2001 to 2018," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.

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