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Mapping the future expansion of Arctic open water

Author

Listed:
  • Katherine R. Barnhart

    (University of Colorado Boulder
    Institute for Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder
    Present address: Annenberg Public Policy Center, University of Pennsylvania, 202 S. 36th St. Philadelphia, Philadelphia 19104, USA.)

  • Christopher R. Miller
  • Irina Overeem

    (Institute for Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder)

  • Jennifer E. Kay

    (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder
    University of Colorado Boulder)

Abstract

This study uses model projections of the open water season (for 1920–2100) to investigate Arctic sea-ice decline. Nearshore regions began shifting from pre-industrial conditions in 1990, and human influence is projected to emerge in 2040.

Suggested Citation

  • Katherine R. Barnhart & Christopher R. Miller & Irina Overeem & Jennifer E. Kay, 2016. "Mapping the future expansion of Arctic open water," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(3), pages 280-285, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:6:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1038_nclimate2848
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2848
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    Cited by:

    1. S. B. Cornish & H. L. Johnson & R. D. C. Mallett & J. Dörr & Y. Kostov & A. E. Richards, 2022. "Rise and fall of sea ice production in the Arctic Ocean’s ice factories," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Morven Muilwijk & Tore Hattermann & Torge Martin & Mats A. Granskog, 2024. "Future sea ice weakening amplifies wind-driven trends in surface stress and Arctic Ocean spin-up," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    3. Chuya Wang & Minghu Ding & Yuande Yang & Ting Wei & Tingfeng Dou, 2022. "Risk Assessment of Ship Navigation in the Northwest Passage: Historical and Projection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, May.

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