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Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations

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  • Juan P. Boisier

    (UMR 7619 METIS, IPSL, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC, CNRS, EPHE
    Present address: Department of Geophysics, Universidad de Chile, and Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2, Santiago 8370449, Chile.)

  • Philippe Ciais

    (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, IPSL, CEA, CNRS, UVSQ)

  • Agnès Ducharne

    (UMR 7619 METIS, IPSL, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC, CNRS, EPHE)

  • Matthieu Guimberteau

    (UMR 7619 METIS, IPSL, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC, CNRS, EPHE
    Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, IPSL, CEA, CNRS, UVSQ)

Abstract

Dry season rainfall in the Amazon is projected by constraining global climate models with simple models calibrated to observations. The results indicate a longer dry season over a larger area and a strengthening of the monsoon season this century.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan P. Boisier & Philippe Ciais & Agnès Ducharne & Matthieu Guimberteau, 2015. "Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(7), pages 656-660, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:5:y:2015:i:7:d:10.1038_nclimate2658
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2658
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    Cited by:

    1. Carauta, Marcelo & Parussis, Julia & Hampf, Anna & Libera, Affonso & Berger, Thomas, 2021. "No more double cropping in Mato Grosso, Brazil? Evaluating the potential impact of climate change on the profitability of farm systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    2. Karis J. McFarlane & Daniela F. Cusack & Lee H. Dietterich & Alexandra L. Hedgpeth & Kari M. Finstad & Andrew T. Nottingham, 2024. "Experimental warming and drying increase older carbon contributions to soil respiration in lowland tropical forests," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    3. Heather Welch & Matthew S. Savoca & Stephanie Brodie & Michael G. Jacox & Barbara A. Muhling & Thomas A. Clay & Megan A. Cimino & Scott R. Benson & Barbara A. Block & Melinda G. Conners & Daniel P. Co, 2023. "Impacts of marine heatwaves on top predator distributions are variable but predictable," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Hao Xu & Xu Lian & Ingrid J. Slette & Hui Yang & Yuan Zhang & Anping Chen & Shilong Piao, 2022. "Rising ecosystem water demand exacerbates the lengthening of tropical dry seasons," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Derek Sheehan & Katrina Mullan & Thales A. P. West & Erin O. Semmens, 2024. "Protecting Life and Lung: Protected Areas Affect Fine Particulate Matter and Respiratory Hospitalizations in the Brazilian Amazon Biome," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(1), pages 45-87, January.
    6. Zhao Li & Philippe Ciais & Jonathon S. Wright & Yong Wang & Shu Liu & Jingmeng Wang & Laurent Z. X. Li & Hui Lu & Xiaomeng Huang & Lei Zhu & Daniel S. Goll & Wei Li, 2023. "Increased precipitation over land due to climate feedback of large-scale bioenergy cultivation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.

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