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Emerging migration flows in a changing climate in dryland Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Dominic R. Kniveton

    (School of Global Studies, University of Sussex)

  • Christopher D. Smith

    (School of Global Studies, University of Sussex)

  • Richard Black

    (School of Global Studies, University of Sussex)

Abstract

Despite 20 years of concern about human migration in response to environmental pressure, estimates of the numbers likely to move as a result of climate change remain, at best, guesswork. Now computer simulations reveal complex interactions in the way that climate and demographic changes combine to influence migration, suggesting that we should expect some surprises.

Suggested Citation

  • Dominic R. Kniveton & Christopher D. Smith & Richard Black, 2012. "Emerging migration flows in a changing climate in dryland Africa," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 444-447, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:2:y:2012:i:6:d:10.1038_nclimate1447
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1447
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    Cited by:

    1. Jlenia Di Noia, 2022. "Agent-Based Models for Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Zones. A Review," Working Papers 2022.20, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    2. Claudio Deiana & Vikram Maheshri & Giovanni Mastrobuoni, 2024. "Migrants at Sea: Unintended Consequences of Search and Rescue Operations," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 335-365, May.
    3. Bourceret, Amélie & Amblard, Laurence & Mathias, Jean-Denis, 2022. "Adapting the governance of social–ecological systems to behavioural dynamics: An agent-based model for water quality management using the theory of planned behaviour," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    4. Hendrik P. Dalen & Kène Henkens, 2021. "Population and Climate Change: Consensus and Dissensus among Demographers," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(3), pages 551-567, July.
    5. Dennis Wesselbaum, 2023. "Climate migration in Asia," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Wenjian He & Yiyang Liu & Huaping Sun & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2020. "How Does Climate Change Affect Rice Yield in China?," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, September.
    7. Alys McAlpine & Ligia Kiss & Cathy Zimmerman & Zaid Chalabi, 2021. "Agent-based modeling for migration and modern slavery research: a systematic review," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 243-332, May.
    8. Furkan Gursoy & Bertan Badur, 2021. "An Agent-Based Modelling Approach to Brain Drain," Papers 2103.03234, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    9. Di Noia, Jlenia, 2022. "Agent-Based Models for Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Zones. A Review," FEEM Working Papers 322810, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    10. Hélène Benveniste & Michael Oppenheimer & Marc Fleurbaey, 2022. "Climate change increases resource-constrained international immobility," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(7), pages 634-641, July.
    11. Olivier Bos & Béatrice Roussillon & Paul Schweinzer, 2016. "Agreeing on Efficient Emissions Reduction," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 118(4), pages 785-815, October.
    12. Ali Naqvi & Miriam Rehm, 2014. "A multi-agent model of a low income economy: simulating the distributional effects of natural disasters," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 9(2), pages 275-309, October.
    13. Schwerhoff, Gregor & Sy, Mouhamadou, 2017. "Financing renewable energy in Africa – Key challenge of the sustainable development goals," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 393-401.
    14. Serdeczny, Olivia, 2017. "What does it mean to “address displacement” under the UNFCCC? An analysis of the negotiations process and the role of research," IDOS Discussion Papers 12/2017, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    15. Lena Reimann & Bryan Jones & Nora Bieker & Claudia Wolff & Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts & Athanasios T. Vafeidis, 2023. "Exploring spatial feedbacks between adaptation policies and internal migration patterns due to sea-level rise," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    16. Trond G. Husby & Elco E. Koks, 2017. "Household migration in disaster impact analysis: incorporating behavioural responses to risk," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(1), pages 287-305, May.
    17. Anna Klabunde & Frans Willekens, 2016. "Decision-Making in Agent-Based Models of Migration: State of the Art and Challenges," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 32(1), pages 73-97, February.
    18. Marcello Marini & Ndaona Chokani & Reza S. Abhari, 2019. "Agent-Based Model Analysis of Impact of Immigration on Switzerland’s Social Security," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 787-808, August.
    19. Desmond Oklikah Ofori & Elmond Bandauko & Senanu Kwasi Kutor & Amanda Odoi & Akosua Boahemaa Asare & Thelma Akyea & Godwin Arku, 2023. "A Systematic Review of International and Internal Climate-Induced Migration in Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-18, November.
    20. Michael Oppenheimer, 2013. "Climate change impacts: accounting for the human response," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 439-449, April.

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