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Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes

Author

Listed:
  • Wenju Cai

    (Ocean University of China
    Laoshan Laboratory
    Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere)

  • Fan Jia

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Shujun Li

    (Ocean University of China
    Laoshan Laboratory)

  • Ariaan Purich

    (Monash University
    ARC Special Research Initiative for Securing Antarctica’s Environmental Future)

  • Guojian Wang

    (Ocean University of China
    Laoshan Laboratory
    Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere)

  • Lixin Wu

    (Ocean University of China
    Laoshan Laboratory)

  • Bolan Gan

    (Ocean University of China
    Laoshan Laboratory)

  • Agus Santoso

    (Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere
    The University of New South Wales)

  • Tao Geng

    (Laoshan Laboratory)

  • Benjamin Ng

    (Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere)

  • Yun Yang

    (Beijing Normal University)

  • David Ferreira

    (University of Reading)

  • Gerald A. Meehl

    (Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research)

  • Michael J. McPhaden

    (NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL))

Abstract

Antarctic shelf ocean warming affects melt of ice shelf/sheets and sea ice but projected changes vary vastly across climate models. A projected increase in El Niño variability has been found to slow future mid-latitude Southern Ocean warming but how this impacts the Antarctic shelf ocean is unknown. Here we show that a projected increase in El Niño variability accelerates Antarctic shelf ocean warming, hastening ice shelf/sheet melt but slowing sea ice reduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenju Cai & Fan Jia & Shujun Li & Ariaan Purich & Guojian Wang & Lixin Wu & Bolan Gan & Agus Santoso & Tao Geng & Benjamin Ng & Yun Yang & David Ferreira & Gerald A. Meehl & Michael J. McPhaden, 2023. "Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(3), pages 235-239, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:13:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1038_s41558-023-01610-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x
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    Cited by:

    1. Hui Chen & Yishuai Jin & Zhengyu Liu & Daoxun Sun & Xianyao Chen & Michael J. McPhaden & Antonietta Capotondi & Xiaopei Lin, 2024. "Central-Pacific El Niño-Southern Oscillation less predictable under greenhouse warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Yi Liu & Wenju Cai & Xiaopei Lin & Ziguang Li & Ying Zhang, 2023. "Nonlinear El Niño impacts on the global economy under climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.

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