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The impact of near-real-time deforestation alerts across the tropics

Author

Listed:
  • Fanny Moffette

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison
    University of Wisconsin-Madison)

  • Jennifer Alix-Garcia

    (Oregon State University)

  • Katherine Shea

    (World Resources Institute)

  • Amy H. Pickens

    (University of Maryland)

Abstract

Reducing deforestation to mitigate climate change necessitates monitoring of deforestation activity. However, while freely available deforestation alerts on forest loss are available, the effect of these alerts and the presence of subscribers in a particular area is unclear. Here, we show that subscriptions to alerts in 22 tropical countries decrease the probability of deforestation in Africa by 18% relative to the average 2011–2016 levels. There is no effect on other continents, and the availability of alerts does not significantly change deforestation outcomes. This decrease in Africa is higher in protected areas and concessions, suggesting that alerts either increased capacity to enforce existing deforestation policy or induced the development of more effective anti-deforestation policies. Calculated using the social cost of carbon for avoided deforestation in Africa, we estimate the alert system’s value to be between US$149 million and US$696 million.

Suggested Citation

  • Fanny Moffette & Jennifer Alix-Garcia & Katherine Shea & Amy H. Pickens, 2021. "The impact of near-real-time deforestation alerts across the tropics," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(2), pages 172-178, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:11:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1038_s41558-020-00956-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00956-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Belinda Arunarwati Margono & Peter V. Potapov & Svetlana Turubanova & Fred Stolle & Matthew C. Hansen, 2014. "Primary forest cover loss in Indonesia over 2000–2012," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(8), pages 730-735, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Merkus, Erik, 2024. "The economic consequences of environmental enforcement: Evidence from an anti-deforestation policy in Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    2. Saavedra, S, 2022. "The response of illegal mining to revealing its existence," Documentos de Trabajo 20078, Universidad del Rosario.

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