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Health co-benefits of climate change mitigation depend on strategic power plant retirements and pollution controls

Author

Listed:
  • Dan Tong

    (Tsinghua University
    University of California, Irvine)

  • Guannan Geng

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Qiang Zhang

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Jing Cheng

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Xinying Qin

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Chaopeng Hong

    (University of California, Irvine)

  • Kebin He

    (Tsinghua University
    Tsinghua University)

  • Steven J. Davis

    (University of California, Irvine)

Abstract

Reducing CO2 emissions from fossil fuel- and biomass-fired power plants often also reduces air pollution, benefitting both climate and public health. Here, we examine the relationship of climate and health benefits by modelling individual electricity-generating units worldwide across a range of climate–energy policy scenarios. We estimate that ~92% of deaths related to power plant emissions during 2010–2018 occurred in low-income or emerging economies such as China, India and countries in Southeast Asia, and show that such deaths are quite sensitive to future climate–energy trajectories. Yet, minimizing future deaths will also require strategic retirements of super-polluting power plants and deployment of pollution control technologies. These findings underscore the importance of considering public health in designing and implementing climate–energy policies: improved air quality and avoided air pollution deaths are not an automatic and fixed co-benefit of climate mitigation.

Suggested Citation

  • Dan Tong & Guannan Geng & Qiang Zhang & Jing Cheng & Xinying Qin & Chaopeng Hong & Kebin He & Steven J. Davis, 2021. "Health co-benefits of climate change mitigation depend on strategic power plant retirements and pollution controls," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(12), pages 1077-1083, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:11:y:2021:i:12:d:10.1038_s41558-021-01216-1
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01216-1
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Xueting, 2023. "Rapid decarbonization in the Chinese electric power sector and air pollution reduction Co-benefits in the Post-COP26 Era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Nakaishi, Tomoaki & Nagashima, Fumiya & Kagawa, Shigemi & Nansai, Keisuke & Chatani, Satoru, 2023. "Quantifying the health benefits of improving environmental efficiency: A case study from coal power plants in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    3. Phoebe Koundouri & Anthony Cox & Arunima Malik & Ben Groom & Brian O'Callaghan & Cameron Hepburn & Catherine Kilelu & Christine Lins & Dale Squires & E. Somanathan & Heba Handoussa & Ian Bateman & Ism, 2023. "The Recovery from the Covid-19 Pandemic as an Opportunity for a Sustainable and Resilient World," DEOS Working Papers 2311, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    4. Zhang, Boling & Wang, Qian & Wang, Sixia & Tong, Ruipeng, 2023. "Coal power demand and paths to peak carbon emissions in China: A provincial scenario analysis oriented by CO2-related health co-benefits," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    5. Guangyuan Cui & Shuang Lu & Donglin Dong & Yanan Zhao, 2023. "Co-Benefits Analysis of Coal De-Capacity in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
    6. Xizhe Yan & Dan Tong & Yixuan Zheng & Yang Liu & Shaoqing Chen & Xinying Qin & Chuchu Chen & Ruochong Xu & Jing Cheng & Qinren Shi & Dongsheng Zheng & Kebin He & Qiang Zhang & Yu Lei, 2024. "Cost-effectiveness uncertainty may bias the decision of coal power transitions in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    7. Zheng Liu & Wenzhuo Sun, 2023. "Study on Low-Carbon Technology Investment Strategies for High Energy-Consuming Enterprises under the Health Co-Benefits of Carbon Emission Reduction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-22, May.
    8. Weng, Zhixiong & Liu, Tingting & Wu, Yufeng & Cheng, Cuiyun, 2022. "Air quality improvement effect and future contributions of carbon trading pilot programs in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).

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