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Do FDI and Public Investment Crowd in/out Domestic Private Investment in the SADC Region?

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  • Eslon Ngeendepi

    (Nelson Mandela University, South Africa)

  • Andrew Phiri

    (Nelson Mandela University, South Africa)

Abstract

Our study examines the crowding-in/out effect of foreign direct investment and government expenditure on private domestic investment for 15 members of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) for the period 1991–2019. The study employed the panel Pool Mean Group (PMG)/ARDL technique in estimating the short-run and long-run cointegration relationships between FDI, government capital expenditure and domestic private investment and adds three more variables for control purposes (interest rate, GDP growth rate and trade openness). For the full sample, FDI crowds-in domestic investment whilst government crowds-out domestic investment. However, in performing a sensitivity analysis, in which the sample was segregated into low and high income economies, both FDI and government investment crowd-in domestic investment whilst government expenditure crowds-out domestic investment in lower income SADC countries with no effect of FDI on domestic investment. Policy implications are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Eslon Ngeendepi & Andrew Phiri, 2021. "Do FDI and Public Investment Crowd in/out Domestic Private Investment in the SADC Region?," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 19(1 (Spring), pages 3-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:mgt:youmgt:v:19:y:2021:i:1:p:3-25
    DOI: 10.26493/1854-6935.19.3-25
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Park, Joshua K. & Meng, Xiangcai, 2024. "Crowding out or crowding in? Reevaluating the effect of government spending on private economic activities," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 102-117.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; domestic investment; SADC countries; PMG estimators;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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