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Does the Stock Market in India Move with Asia?: A Multivariate Cointegration-Vector Autoregression Approach

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  • Paramita Mukherjee
  • Suchismita Bose

Abstract

This paper examines if the Indian stock market moves with other markets in Asia and the United States in an era of capital market reforms and the sustained interest of foreign investors in that market. By using techniques of cointegration, vector autoregression, vector error-correction models, and Granger causality, we find that, though there is definite information leadership from the U. S. market to all Asian markets, the U. S. indexes do not uniquely influence the integration of Asian markets, while Japan is found to play a unique role in the integration of Asian markets. The U. S. market is seen not only to influence, but also to be influenced by information from most of the major Asian markets. The Indian stock return in recent times is definitely led by major stock index returns in the United States, Japan, as well as other Asian markets, such as Hong Kong, South Korea, and Singapore. More important, returns on the Indian market are also seen to exert considerable influence on stock returns in major Asian markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Paramita Mukherjee & Suchismita Bose, 2008. "Does the Stock Market in India Move with Asia?: A Multivariate Cointegration-Vector Autoregression Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(5), pages 5-22, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:44:y:2008:i:5:p:5-22
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    Cited by:

    1. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mutascu, Mihai Ioan & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2016. "Continuous wavelet transform and rolling correlation of European stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 237-256.
    2. Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat & Azhar Mohamad & Kevin Reinaldo Amin, 2021. "Intertemporal price discovery between stock index futures and spot markets: New evidence from high‐frequency data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 898-913, January.
    3. Lee, Hyunchul & Cho, Seung Mo, 2017. "What drives dynamic comovements of stock markets in the Pacific Basin region?: A quantile regression approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 314-327.
    4. Mohamed Shikh Albaity & Hamdia Mudor, 2012. "Return performance, Cointegration and short run dynamics of Islamic and non-Islamic indices: evidence from the US and Malaysia during the subprime crisis," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 1, pages 1-1, June.
    5. Yushi Yoshida, 2010. "Is this time different for Asia?: Evidence from stock Markets," Discussion Papers 40, Kyushu Sangyo University, Faculty of Economics.
    6. Ahmad, Nasir & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Does inter-region portfolio diversification pay more than the international diversification?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 26-35.
    7. Chun-Da Chen & Alex YiHou Huang & Chih-Chun Chen, 2011. "The Effects of Abolishing a Foreign Institutional Investment Quota in Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(2), pages 74-98, March.
    8. Samiran Jana, 2024. "Stock Market Integration and Trade: A Study on India and its Major Trading Partners," Vision, , vol. 28(3), pages 313-326, June.
    9. Mohti, Wahbeeah & Dionísio, Andreia & Vieira, Isabel & Ferreira, Paulo, 2019. "Regional and global integration of Asian stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 357-368.
    10. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Daniel Goyeau & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Co-movements and contagion between international stock index futures markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1529-1568, June.
    11. Narayan, Seema & Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2021. "Can home-biased investors diversify interregionally in the long run?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 167-181.
    12. Urom, Christian & Guesmi, Khaled & Abid, Ilyes & Dagher, Leila, 2023. "Dynamic integration and transmission channels among interest rates and oil price shocks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 296-317.
    13. Priti Dubey & Rishika Shankar, 2020. "Determinants of the Commodity Futures Market Performance: An Indian Perspective," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 21(2), pages 239-257, September.
    14. Paramita Mukherjee & Malabika Roy, 2016. "What Drives the Stock Market Return in India? An Exploration with Dynamic Factor Model," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 15(1), pages 119-145, April.
    15. Narayan, Seema & Ur Rehman, Mobeen, 2017. "Diversification opportunities between emerging and frontier Asian (EFA) and developed stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 223-232.
    16. Geoffrey Ngene & Kenneth A. Tah & Ali F. Darrat, 2017. "The random-walk hypothesis revisited: new evidence on multiple structural breaks in emerging markets," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 88-106, January.
    17. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Do alternative energy markets provide optimal alternative investment opportunities?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    18. Seema Wati Narayan & Mobeen Ur Rehman & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chaoqun Ma, 2023. "Is a correlation-based investment strategy beneficial for long-term international portfolio investors?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-26, December.
    19. Narayan, Seema & Ur Rehman, Mobeen, 2020. "International portfolio strategies and opportunities: The case of the US, Japan and Asia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    20. Rajneesh Prakash Verma & Poonam Rani, 2016. "Emerging Stock Market Integration in the Post Financial Crises Era: An Empirical Analysis of the Short-term and Long-term Linkages," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 2(1), pages 91-109, May.
    21. Jayasuriya, Shamila A., 2011. "Stock market correlations between China and its emerging market neighbors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 418-431.
    22. Hasan F. Baklaci & Ömür Süer & Tezer Yelkenci̇, 2018. "Price Linkages Among Emerging Gold Futures Markets," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(05), pages 1345-1365, December.

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