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Macroeconomic Variables and the Housing Market in Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Ramazan Sari
  • Bradley T. Ewing
  • Bahadir Aydin

Abstract

This paper investigates the relation between housing starts and macroeconomic variables in Turkey from 1961 to 2000. The generalized variance decomposition approach is used to examine relations between housing market activity and prices, interest rates, output, money stock, and employment. In contrast to previous findings for developed countries, our results indicate that the monetary aggregate has a relatively more important and substantial effect on housing investment than does employment. Generally speaking, shocks to interest rates, output, and prices have noticeable effects on changes in the Turkish housing market.

Suggested Citation

  • Ramazan Sari & Bradley T. Ewing & Bahadir Aydin, 2007. "Macroeconomic Variables and the Housing Market in Turkey," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(5), pages 5-19, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:43:y:2007:i:5:p:5-19
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cengiz Tunc, 2020. "The Effect of Credit Supply on House Prices: Evidence From Turkey," Housing Policy Debate, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 228-242, March.
    2. Yin-Wong Cheung & Kenneth K. Chow & Matthew S. Yiu, 2017. "Effects of capital flow on the equity and housing markets in Hong Kong," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 332-349, August.
    3. Utku Akseki & Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Barış Gök, 2014. "A regime-dependent investigation of the impact of macroeconomic variables on the housing market activity in Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(2), pages 1081-1090.
    4. Todd Kuethe & Valerien Pede, 2011. "Regional Housing Price Cycles: A Spatio-temporal Analysis Using US State-level Data," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 563-574.
    5. Alain Coën & Alexis Pourcelot & Richard Malle, 2022. "Macroeconomic shocks and ripple effects in the Greater Paris Metropolis," Post-Print hal-03713561, HAL.
    6. Mustafa Ozan Yıldırım & Özge Filiz Yağcıbaşı, 2019. "The Dynamics Of House Prices And Fiscal Policy Shocks In Turkey," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 64(220), pages 39-60, January –.
    7. Nuri Hacıevliyagil & Krzysztof Drachal & Ibrahim Halil Eksi, 2022. "Predicting House Prices Using DMA Method: Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-27, March.
    8. Insoo Baek & Sanghyo Lee & Joosung Lee & Jaejun Kim, 2021. "Analysis of Housing Market Dynamics Considering the Structural Characteristics of Mortgage Interest," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-15, September.
    9. Todd H. Kuethe & Valerien Pede, 2009. "Regional Housing Price Cycles: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis Using Us State Level," Working Papers 09-04, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    10. Lan, Hao & Moreira, Fernando & Zhao, Sheng, 2023. "Can a house resale restriction policy curb speculation? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 841-859.
    11. Abul, Sadeq & Al-Kandari, Ahmad M., 2020. "Real Estate Market and Macroeconomic Factors in Kuwait: An ARDL Approach," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 73(3), pages 405-434.
    12. Coën, Alain & Pourcelot, Alexis & Malle, Richard, 2022. "Macroeconomic shocks and ripple effects in the Greater Paris Metropolis," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).

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