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Market dynamics and integration of the financial markets of the NAFTA countries

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Emmanuel Anguiano Pita

    (Universidad de Guadalajara)

  • Antonio Ruiz Porras

    (Universidad de Guadalajara)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of the integration process of the bond, interbank, currency and stock markets of the NAFTA region. For this purpose, we use the generalized dynamic factor model originally proposed by Forni, Hallin, Lippi and Reichlin (2005) and representative series of monthly returns of the analyzed markets for the period from January 1995 to December 2017. The main results suggest that: 1) There are asymmetries in the size of the markets; 2) there is evidence of structural breaks; 3) common factors exist among the financial markets; 4) the markets have differentiated levels of integration; and 5) the currency and stock markets are the most sensitive to the common components. These findings may be useful to analyze the evolution of NAFTA and to propose economic and financial regional policies

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Emmanuel Anguiano Pita & Antonio Ruiz Porras, 2020. "Market dynamics and integration of the financial markets of the NAFTA countries," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 92, pages 67-100, Enero-Jun.
    • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:2020:i:92:p:67-100
    DOI: 10.17533/udea.le.n92a03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2005. "The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 830-840, September.
    2. Chambet, Anthony & Gibson, Rajna, 2008. "Financial integration, economic instability and trade structure in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 654-675, June.
    3. Ryan Greenaway‐McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh‐Lin Wu, 2018. "Identifying Exchange Rate Common Factors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(4), pages 2193-2218, November.
    4. Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2000. "The Generalized Dynamic-Factor Model: Identification And Estimation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(4), pages 540-554, November.
    5. Mr. Luc Eyraud & Ms. Diva Singh & Mr. Bennett W Sutton, 2017. "Benefits of Global and Regional Financial Integration in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2017/001, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Hallin, Marc & Liska, Roman, 2007. "Determining the Number of Factors in the General Dynamic Factor Model," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 603-617, June.
    7. Lieven Baele, 2010. "The Determinants of Stock and Bond Return Comovements," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(6), pages 2374-2428, June.
    8. Sosa, Miriam & Ortiz, Edgar, 2017. "Global Financial Crisis Volatility Impact and Contagion Effect on NAFTA Equity Markets / Impacto de la volatilidad y efecto de contagio de la crisis global financiera en los mercados bursátiles del TL," Estocástica: finanzas y riesgo, Departamento de Administración de la Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Azcapotzalco, vol. 7(1), pages 67-88, enero-jun.
    9. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2013. "A dynamic factor model with time-varying loadings for euro area bond markets during the debt crisis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 50-54.
    10. Lahrech, Abdelmounaim & Sylwester, Kevin, 2013. "The impact of NAFTA on North American stock market linkages," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 94-108.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial integration; monetary markets; currency markets; interbank markets; stock markets; generalized dynamic factor model; NAFTA.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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