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Változó infláció és a nyugdíjak - Magyarország, 2010-2023
[Varying Inflation and Public Pensions: The Case of Hungary, 2010-2023]

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  • Simonovits, András

Abstract

A tb-nyugdíjak emelését számos országban (Magyarországon 2010 óta) az árak változásához igazítják (indexálják), ilyenkor elhanyagolhatjuk az infláció hatását a már megállapított nyugdíjak reálértékére. De ha a bérnövekedést is figyelembe vesszük az emelésben, normális esetben akkor sincs nagy hatása az inflációnak. Változó infláció esetén azonban a korábban bevált elhanyagolások érvénytelenekké válnak: ezt láthattuk az átmenet éveiben, és ezt tapasztalhatjuk 2021 eleje óta Magyarországon gyors és gyorsuló infláció esetén. Cikkünkben négy kérdésre keressük a választ. 1. Az élelmiszer- és az energiaköltségek az átlagos fogyasztói ár emelkedését messze meghaladó drágulása miatt hogyan kellene a már megállapított kisnyugdíjakat külön emelni? 2. Érdemes-e a már megállapított nyugdíjak éven belüli értékvesztését gyakoribb emeléssel tompítani? 3. Miként hat a nyugdíjba vonulás idejének halasztására a felgyorsult infláció? 4. Hogyan gyengíti a magasabb induló nyugdíjak reálértékét a nominálisan megállapított degresszió mellett a halmozódó infláció?* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E31, H55.

Suggested Citation

  • Simonovits, András, 2023. "Változó infláció és a nyugdíjak - Magyarország, 2010-2023 [Varying Inflation and Public Pensions: The Case of Hungary, 2010-2023]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 381-397.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:2117
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2023.4.381
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stanley Fischer, 1982. "Adapting to Inflation in the United States Economy," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation: Causes and Effects, pages 169-188, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Edward Whitehouse, 2009. "Pensions, Purchasing-Power Risk, Inflation and Indexation," OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers 77, OECD Publishing.
    3. Barr, Nicholas & Diamond, Peter, 2008. "Reforming Pensions: Principles and Policy Choices," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195311303.
    4. Checherita-Westphal, Cristina, 2022. "Public wage and pension indexation in the euro area," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 1.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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