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A kínai koronavírus és a magyar gazdaság kitettsége. Mit mutatnak a világ input-output táblák?
[The Chinese coronavirus outbreak and the exposure of the Hungarian economy]

Author

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  • Koppány, Krisztián

Abstract

A Kínából kiindult koronavírus-járvány kapcsán egyre inkább előtérbe kerül a világgazdaság országainak és ágazatainak globális értékláncok szerinti összekapcsoltsága, egyik ország-ágazat párosnak egy másiktól való függősége. A tanulmány Magyarország és a magyar gazdaság ágazatainak elsősorban Kína, másodsorban Olaszország ágazataival szembeni kitettségét vizsgálja a WIOD-adatbázis és output-to-output rugalmassági mutatók alapján. Legfontosabb következtetése, hogy a két országban bekövetkező kibocsátási sokkok erőteljesen kihathatnak Magyarországra, amelynek a kínai beszállítóktól való függősége világviszonylatban is jelentős.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: C67

Suggested Citation

  • Koppány, Krisztián, 2020. "A kínai koronavírus és a magyar gazdaság kitettsége. Mit mutatnak a világ input-output táblák? [The Chinese coronavirus outbreak and the exposure of the Hungarian economy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 433-455.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1904
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2020.5.433
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marcel P. Timmer & Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Robert Stehrer & Gaaitzen J. Vries, 2015. "An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: the Case of Global Automotive Production," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 575-605, August.
    2. Rudolfs Bems & Robert C Johnson & Kei-Mu Yi, 2010. "Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 58(2), pages 295-326, December.
    3. Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Robert Stehrer & Marcel Timmer & Gaaitzen de Vries, 2013. "The Construction Of World Input-Output Tables In The Wiod Project," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 71-98, March.
    4. Maria Demertzis & André Sapir & Simone Tagliapietra & Guntram B. Wolff, 2020. "An effective economic response to the Coronavirus in Europe," Policy Contributions 35323, Bruegel.
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    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models

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