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Háztartás-formálódás a MIDAS modellben
[Household formation in the MIDAS-HU model]

Author

Listed:
  • Gál, Róbert Iván
  • Törzsök, Árpád

Abstract

A MIDAS dinamikus mikroszimulációs nyugdíjmodell magyar változata tartalmaz egy háztartás-formálódási modult, amely a szimuláció során életpályájukon végigkísért egyéneket összekapcsolja. Ez lehetővé teszi a felosztó-kirovó nyugdíjrendszer azon elemeinek modellezését, amelyekben a járulék vagy a járadék függ az egyén családi kapcsolataitól. Ilyen elemek az özvegyi és egyéb hozzátartozói nyugdíjak, a családi állapottól függő járulék- és járadékmegállapítás, a változatos gyermekkedvezmények vagy a gyermeknevelés-függő nyugdíjmegállapítás. A magyar adatkörnyezetben a háztartás-formálódási modul programozása speciális nehézségekbe ütközik, mivel nem áll rendelkezésre olyan adminisztratív vagy kérdőíves kikérdezésre épülő adatállomány, amely azon felül, hogy az egyénre nézve kapcsolattörténeti és háztartás-szerkezeti adatokat tartalmaz, kiterjed a párokra, vagy ha kiterjed is, ezt a tényt nem rögzíti. A szóba jöhető survey jellegű adatbázisok egyéni mintákat tartalmaznak, az adminisztratív adatállományok pedig, melyek a nyugdíjrendszerrel kapcsolatos releváns információkat gyűjtik, nem kapcsolják össze az egyéneket. A MIDAS modell magyar változata ezért egy retrospektív háztartás-rekonstrukciós szimulációt is elvégez.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: C53, H55

Suggested Citation

  • Gál, Róbert Iván & Törzsök, Árpád, 2015. "Háztartás-formálódás a MIDAS modellben [Household formation in the MIDAS-HU model]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1343-1358.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1603
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2015.12.1343
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Volker Meier & Martin Werding, 2010. "Ageing and the welfare state: securing sustainability," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 26(4), pages 655-673, Winter.
    2. Sinn, Hans-Werner, 2004. "The pay-as-you-go pension system as fertility insurance and an enforcement device," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(7-8), pages 1335-1357, July.
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    4. Alessandro Cigno & Martin Werding, 2007. "Children and Pensions," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262033690, December.
    5. Gaëtan de Menten & Gijs Dekkers & Geert Bryon & Philippe Liégeois & Cathal O'Donoghue, 2014. "LIAM2: a New Open Source Development Tool for Discrete-Time Dynamic Microsimulation Models," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 17(3), pages 1-9.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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