IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/transp/v42y2015i5p733-751.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting the evolution of social networks with life cycle events

Author

Listed:
  • Fariya Sharmeen
  • Theo Arentze
  • Harry Timmermans

Abstract

This paper presents a model of social network evolution, to predict and simulate changes in social networks induced by lifecycle events. We argue that social networks change with lifecycle events, and we extend a model of friendship selection to incorporate these dynamics of personal social networks. The model uses theories of homophily and reciprocity and is formulated in a random utility maximization framework to predict the formation of social ties between individuals in the population. It is then extended to predict the evolution of social networks in response to life cycle events. The model is estimated using attribute data of a national sample and an event-based retrospective dataset collected in 2009 and 2011 respectively. Findings suggest that homophily has a strong effect on the formation of new ties. However, heterophily also plays a role in maintaining existing ties. Although the motivation of this research stems from incorporating social network dynamics in large-scale travel behaviour micro-simulation models, the research can be used in a variety of fields for similar purposes. Copyright The Author(s) 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Fariya Sharmeen & Theo Arentze & Harry Timmermans, 2015. "Predicting the evolution of social networks with life cycle events," Transportation, Springer, vol. 42(5), pages 733-751, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:42:y:2015:i:5:p:733-751
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-015-9644-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11116-015-9644-8
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11116-015-9644-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N. Lesca & M.-L. Caron-Fasan & S. Falcy, 2012. "How Managers Interpret Scanning Information," Post-Print halshs-00783659, HAL.
    2. King, Gary & Zeng, Langche, 2001. "Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 137-163, January.
    3. Juan Carrasco & Eric Miller, 2006. "Exploring the propensity to perform social activities: a social network approach," Transportation, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 463-480, September.
    4. N. Lesca & M.-L. Caron-Fasan, 2012. "How managers interpret scanning information?," Post-Print halshs-00740495, HAL.
    5. Jeremy Hackney & Fabrice Marchal, 2011. "A coupled multi-agent microsimulation of social interactions and transportation behavior," Post-Print halshs-00733505, HAL.
    6. Juan Antonio Carrasco & Bernie Hogan & Barry Wellman & Eric J. Miller, 2008. "Agency In Social Activity Interactions: The Role Of Social Networks In Time And Space," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 99(5), pages 562-583, December.
    7. Diana Mok & Barry Wellman & Juan Carrasco, 2010. "Does Distance Matter in the Age of the Internet?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 47(13), pages 2747-2783, November.
    8. K W Axhausen, 2008. "Social Networks, Mobility Biographies, and Travel: Survey Challenges," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 35(6), pages 981-996, December.
    9. Hackney, Jeremy & Marchal, Fabrice, 2011. "A coupled multi-agent microsimulation of social interactions and transportation behavior," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 296-309, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Calastri, Chiara & Hess, Stephane & Daly, Andrew & Carrasco, Juan Antonio & Choudhury, Charisma, 2018. "Modelling the loss and retention of contacts in social networks: The role of dyad-level heterogeneity and tie strength," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 63-77.
    2. Scheiner, Joachim, 2020. "Changes in travel mode use over the life course with partner interactions in couple households," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 791-807.
    3. Albrecht, Janna & Holz-Rau, Christian & Scheiner, Joachim, 2017. "Life-course data reconstruction using complementary information taken from linked lives," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 308-318.
    4. Frank Goetzke & Regine Gerike & Antonio Páez & Elenna Dugundji, 2015. "Social interactions in transportation: analyzing groups and spatial networks," Transportation, Springer, vol. 42(5), pages 723-731, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Miguel Picornell & Tomás Ruiz & Maxime Lenormand & José Ramasco & Thibaut Dubernet & Enrique Frías-Martínez, 2015. "Exploring the potential of phone call data to characterize the relationship between social network and travel behavior," Transportation, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 647-668, July.
    2. Matous, Petr & Todo, Yasuyuki & Mojo, Dagne, 2013. "Boots are made for walking: interactions across physical and social space in infrastructure-poor regions," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 226-235.
    3. Matous, Petr, 2017. "Complementarity and substitution between physical and virtual travel for instrumental information sharing in remote rural regions: A social network approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 61-79.
    4. Lin, Tao & Wang, Donggen, 2015. "Tradeoffs between in- and out-of-residential neighborhood locations for discretionary activities and time use: do social contexts matter?," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 119-127.
    5. Ettema, Dick & Schwanen, Tim, 2012. "A relational approach to analysing leisure travel," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 173-181.
    6. Kii, Masanobu & Nakanishi, Hitomi & Nakamura, Kazuki & Doi, Kenji, 2016. "Transportation and spatial development: An overview and a future direction," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 148-158.
    7. Pike, Susan & Lubell, Mark, 2016. "Geography and social networks in transportation mode choice," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 184-193.
    8. Parady, Giancarlos & Frei, Andreas & Kowald, Matthias & Guidon, Sergio & Wicki, Michael & van den Berg, Pauline & Carrasco, Juan-Antonio & Arentze, Theo & Timmermans, Harry & Wellman, Barry & Takami, , 2021. "A comparative study of social interaction frequencies among social network members in five countries," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    9. Masashi Okushima, 2015. "Simulating social influences on sustainable mobility shifts for heterogeneous agents," Transportation, Springer, vol. 42(5), pages 827-855, September.
    10. Lin, Tao & Wang, Donggen & Zhou, Meng, 2018. "Residential relocation and changes in travel behavior: what is the role of social context change?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 360-374.
    11. Roy, P. & Martínez, A.J. & Miscione, G. & Zuidgeest, M.H.P. & van Maarseveen, M.F.A.M., 2012. "Using Social Network Analysis to profile people based on their e-communication and travel balance," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 111-122.
    12. Ettema, Dick & Zwartbol, Danielle, 2013. "The structure of joint leisure trips: analyzing two-person leisure trips of Dutch students," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 216-225.
    13. Hackney, Jeremy & Marchal, Fabrice, 2011. "A coupled multi-agent microsimulation of social interactions and transportation behavior," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 296-309, May.
    14. Maness, Michael & Cirillo, Cinzia & Dugundji, Elenna R., 2015. "Generalized behavioral framework for choice models of social influence: Behavioral and data concerns in travel behavior," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 137-150.
    15. Adam M. Kleinbaum & Toby E. Stuart & Michael L. Tushman, 2013. "Discretion Within Constraint: Homophily and Structure in a Formal Organization," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(5), pages 1316-1336, October.
    16. Barbara L. van Veen & J. Roland Ortt, 2024. "Simplification errors in predictive models," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(3), September.
    17. Jones, Peter & Lucas, Karen, 2012. "The social consequences of transport decision-making: clarifying concepts, synthesising knowledge and assessing implications," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 4-16.
    18. Mauno, Tuomas & Catelo, Fellice & Bengston, David N. & Pykäläinen, Jouni & Hujala, Teppo, 2023. "How to identify and interpret weak signals of change in the forest bioeconomy," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    19. Nicolas Lesca & Marie-Laurence Caron-Fasan & Edison Loza Aguirre & Marie-Christine Chalus-Sauvannet, 2015. "Drivers and barriers to pre-adoption of strategic scanning information systems in the context of sustainable supply chain [Motivations et freins à la pré-adoption d'un système d'information de veil," Post-Print halshs-01337216, HAL.
    20. AlKheder, Sharaf, 2021. "Taxi Ride sharing in Kuwait: Econ-enviro study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:42:y:2015:i:5:p:733-751. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.