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Stock prices, dividends, earnings, and investor sentiment

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  • Chung Baek

    (Troy University)

Abstract

We investigate the relationship between fundamental market variables and investor sentiment. Our study focuses on empirical aspects that have not been explored by previous studies. We find that sentiment is co-integrated with earnings and sentiment changes cause earnings changes. Under extreme market events, however, sentiment changes tend to move more closely together with stock returns. We also find that the predictive power of sentiment changes increases with subsequent medium-term earnings changes and sentiment changes are asymmetrically more sensitive to high earnings. Our study provides a new insight to stock market participants.

Suggested Citation

  • Chung Baek, 2016. "Stock prices, dividends, earnings, and investor sentiment," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1043-1061, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:47:y:2016:i:4:d:10.1007_s11156-015-0530-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-015-0530-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Jason P. Berkowitz & Craig A. Depken, 2018. "A rational asymmetric reaction to news: evidence from English football clubs," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 347-374, August.
    2. Yao Zheng & Eric Osmer, 2018. "The Relationship between Hedge Fund Performance and Stock Market Sentiment," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(03), pages 1-29, September.
    3. Vijay S. Sampath & Arthur J. O’Connor & Calvester Legister, 2022. "Moral leadership and investor attention: An empirical assessment of the potus’s tweets on firms’ market returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 881-910, April.
    4. Ding Du & Ou Hu, 2018. "The sentiment premium and macroeconomic announcements," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 207-237, January.
    5. Cedric Mbanga & Ali F. Darrat & Jung Chul Park, 2019. "Investor sentiment and aggregate stock returns: the role of investor attention," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 397-428, August.
    6. Ding Du & Ou Hu, 2020. "Why does stock-market investor sentiment influence corporate investment?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1221-1246, May.
    7. Alex YiHou Huang & Ming-Che Hu & Quang Thai Truong, 2021. "Asymmetrical impacts from overnight returns on stock returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 849-889, April.
    8. Fang Sun & Xiangjing Wei, 2019. "Property-Liability Insurers’ Discretionary and Nondiscretionary Loss Reserve Error: Relation with Investor Sentiment," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(03), pages 1-20, September.
    9. Chung Baek, 2020. "Risk Transmissions between Major Foreign Currencies: An Empirical Analysis from the U.S. Perspective," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 19(2), pages 151-168, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor sentiment; Co-integration; Causality; Copula; Structural break;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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