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Why managers with low forecast precision select high disclosure intensity: an equilibrium analysis

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  • Miles Gietzmann
  • Adam Ostaszewski

Abstract

Shin (J Account Res 44(2):351–379, 2006 ) has argued that in order to understand the equilibrium patterns of corporate disclosure, it is necessary for researchers to work within an asset pricing framework in which corporate disclosures are endogenously determined. Echoing this sentiment, Larcker and Rusticus (J Account Econ 49(3):186–205, 2010 ) have argued that earlier empirical results claiming to find a negative relationship between disclosure and cost of capital may suffer fatally from endogeneity issues which, once addressed by a formal structural model, may reverse the sign of the relationship. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a general equilibrium model following the Black–Scholes paradigm with endogeneous disclosure in which firms select uniquely determined optimal probabilities of early equity-value discovery in a noisy environment. As firms may differ also in the uncertainty (precision) with which management can forecast the future, managers strategically increase the intensity of their (voluntary) disclosures to provide partial compensation for this perceived differential risk. A positive relationship then results between disclosure and the cost of capital. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Miles Gietzmann & Adam Ostaszewski, 2014. "Why managers with low forecast precision select high disclosure intensity: an equilibrium analysis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 121-153, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:43:y:2014:i:1:p:121-153
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-013-0367-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Adam Ostaszewski & Miles Gietzmann, 2008. "Value creation with Dye’s disclosure option: optimal risk-shielding with an upper tailed disclosure strategy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 1-27, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Belen Blanco & Juan M. Garcia Lara & Josep A. Tribo, 2015. "Segment Disclosure and Cost of Capital," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3-4), pages 367-411, April.
    2. Miles B. Gietzmann & Adam J. Ostaszewski, 2016. "The Sound of Silence: equilibrium filtering and optimal censoring in financial markets," Papers 1606.04039, arXiv.org.
    3. Cao, Qingzi & Yang, Fan & Liu, Minglang, 2022. "Impact of managerial power on regulatory inquiries from stock exchanges: Evidence from the text tone of Chinese listed companies' annual reports," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Voluntary disclosure; Disclosure strategy; Implied cost of capital; Endogeneous choice of information endowment; Omega ratio; D82; M41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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