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Projecting the Contribution of Assisted Reproductive Technology to Completed Cohort Fertility

Author

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  • Ester Lazzari

    (University of Vienna (Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna)))

  • Michaela Potančoková

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna))

  • Tomáš Sobotka

    (Vienna Institute of Demography, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna))

  • Edith Gray

    (School of Demography, Australian National University)

  • Georgina M. Chambers

    (National Perinatal Epidemiology and Statistics Unit (NPESU), Centre for Big Data Research in Health and School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of New South Wales)

Abstract

Assisted reproductive technology (ART) is increasingly influencing the fertility trends of high-income countries characterized by a pattern of delayed childbearing. However, research on the impact of ART on completed fertility is limited and the extent to which delayed births are realized later in life through ART is not well understood. This study uses data from Australian fertility clinics and national birth registries to project the contribution of ART for cohorts of women that have not yet completed their reproductive life and estimate the role played by ART in the fertility ‘recuperation’ process. Assuming that the increasing trends in ART success rates and treatment rates continue, the projection shows that the contribution of ART-conceived births to completed fertility will increase from 2.1% among women born in 1968 to 5.7% among women born in 1986. ART is projected to substantially affect the extent to which childbearing delay will be compensated at older ages, suggesting that its availability may become an important factor in helping women to achieve their reproductive plans later in life.

Suggested Citation

  • Ester Lazzari & Michaela Potančoková & Tomáš Sobotka & Edith Gray & Georgina M. Chambers, 2023. "Projecting the Contribution of Assisted Reproductive Technology to Completed Cohort Fertility," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(1), pages 1-22, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:poprpr:v:42:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11113-023-09765-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11113-023-09765-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bloom, David E. & Kuhn, Michael & Prettner, Klaus, 2023. "Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences," IZA Discussion Papers 16500, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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