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Developmental Idealism and Beliefs About Marriage and Fertility in Turkey

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Listed:
  • Serap Kavas
  • Arland Thornton

    (The University of Michigan)

Abstract

Developmental idealism (DI) contains a set of beliefs endorsing development, low fertility, and late marriage and causal connections between development, fertility, and marriage. In this paper, we investigate to what extent DI beliefs about connections of economic development with marriage and childbearing are widespread in Turkey. We also compare the views of people concerning these linkages generally with their views of the linkages in their own country. We also investigate whether such factors as regional location, ethnicity, secularism, education, gender, age, marital status, and number of children influence the acceptance of DI beliefs concerning marriage and fertility in Turkey. We present new data from a national survey of urban Turks conducted in 2014. Our analyses reveal substantial evidence that the ideas of DI have been circulated widely among ordinary people in Turkey. Our results also indicate that Turkish people make little distinction between DI as it relates to their own country and DI as it relates to more general or abstract considerations. Moreover, our analyses suggest that region of residence, age, education, gender, marital status, and fertility were related in substantial and statistically significant ways to DI beliefs. However, for such factors as education, gender, marital status, and fertility, we found that the estimated effects were in a different direction from our theoretical predictions. We argue that these findings are important contributions to DI research and that our study raises significant new questions that deserve further research.

Suggested Citation

  • Serap Kavas & Arland Thornton, 2020. "Developmental Idealism and Beliefs About Marriage and Fertility in Turkey," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 39(1), pages 47-75, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:poprpr:v:39:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11113-019-09525-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11113-019-09525-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arland Thornton & Georgina Binstock & Kathryn Yount & Mohammad Abbasi-Shavazi & Dirgha Ghimire & Yu Xie, 2012. "International Fertility Change: New Data and Insights From the Developmental Idealism Framework," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 49(2), pages 677-698, May.
    2. Georgina Binstock & Arland Thornton, 2007. "Knowledge and use of developmental thinking about societies and families among teenagers in Argentina," Demográfia English Edition, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute, vol. 50(5), pages 75-104.
    3. Arland Thornton, 2001. "The developmental paradigm, reading history sideways, and family change," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 38(4), pages 449-465, November.
    4. Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi & Abbas Askari Nodoushan & Arland Thornton, 2012. "Family life and developmental idealism in Yazd, Iran," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 26(10), pages 207-238.
    5. Keera Allendorf & Roshan K. Pandian, 2016. "The Decline of Arranged Marriage? Marital Change and Continuity in India," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 42(3), pages 435-464, September.
    6. Arland Thornton & Dimiter Philipov, 2009. "Sweeping Changes in Marriage, Cohabitation and Childbearing in Central and Eastern Europe: New Insights from the Developmental Idealism Framework [Transformations radicales du mariage, de la cohabi," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 25(2), pages 123-156, May.
    7. Arland Thornton & Dirgha Ghimire & Colter Mitchell, 2012. "The measurement and prevalence of an ideational model of family and economic development in Nepal," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 66(3), pages 329-345.
    8. Arland Thornton & Rachael Pierotti & Linda Young-DeMarco & Susan Watkins, 2014. "Developmental Idealism and Cultural Models of the Family in Malawi," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 33(5), pages 693-716, October.
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