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World oil prices and O.E.C.D. trade balance

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  • Dominick Salvatore
  • Greg Winczewski

Abstract

This paper develops a theoretical model which postulates that while the drop in oil prices during the 1980s has benefitted O.E.C.D. countries in a way not unlike a favorable productivity shock, the concomitant shift in oil market share from Arab or cartel core petroleum exporting countries to non-Arab or non-cartel core petroleum exporting countries, has provided less benefits to the O.E.C.D. countries than has hitherto been acknowledged. The econometric analysis lends support to the model. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1990

Suggested Citation

  • Dominick Salvatore & Greg Winczewski, 1990. "World oil prices and O.E.C.D. trade balance," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 89-106, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:1:y:1990:i:1:p:89-106
    DOI: 10.1007/BF01886177
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marion, Nancy Peregrim & Svensson, Lars E O, 1984. "World Equilibrium with Oil Price Increases: An Intertemporal Analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(1), pages 86-102, March.
    2. Louka Katseli & Nancy Marion, 1982. "Adjustment to variations in prices of imported inputs : The role of economic structure," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 118(1), pages 131-147, March.
    3. Black, Stanley W, 1978. "International Finance: Discussion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 33(3), pages 813-815, June.
    4. Djajic, Slobodan, 1983. "Intermediate inputs and international trade: An analysis of the real and monetary aspects of a change in the price of oil," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 179-195, August.
    5. Marion, Nancy Peregrim & Svensson, Lars E. O., 1986. "The terms of trade between oil importers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1-2), pages 99-113, February.
    6. Gately, Dermot, 1984. "A Ten-Year Retrospective: OPEC and the World Oil Market," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 22(3), pages 1100-1114, September.
    7. Bhandari, Jagdeep S., 1981. "The simple macroeconomics of an oil-dependent economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 333-354.
    8. Dermot Gately, 1986. "Lessons from the 1986 Oil Price Collapse," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 17(2), pages 237-284.
    9. repec:bla:scandj:v:84:y:1982:i:2:p:199-221 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Bruno, Michael, 1980. "Import Prices and Stagflation in the Industrial Countries: A Cross-Section Analysis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(359), pages 479-492, September.
    11. Lars E. O. Svensson, 1984. "Oil Prices, Welfare, and the Trade Balance," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 99(4), pages 649-672.
    12. Dominick Salvatore, 1984. "Petroleum prices, exchange rates, and domestic inflation in developing nations," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 120(3), pages 580-589, September.
    13. Michael Bruno & Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1985. "Economics of Worldwide Stagflation," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number brun85-1.
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    2. Baek, Jungho, 2023. "A new look at the crude oil shocks and trade nexus: Evidence from bilateral trade between Korea and its three largest partners," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

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