IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jrefec/v69y2024i1d10.1007_s11146-022-09930-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

House Prices and Flood Risk Exposure: An Integration of Hedonic Property Model and Spatial Econometric Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Nam Bui

    (University of Auckland)

  • Le Wen

    (University of Auckland)

  • Basil Sharp

    (University of Auckland)

Abstract

The impact of climate change is devastating in developing countries where flood protection and insurance schemes are limited. Certain parts of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam are under the constant threat of inundation due to sea-level rise. We integrate the hedonic property model in a difference-in-differences framework and spatial econometric analysis into a single analytical framework to estimate the economic effect of pluvial flooding. We find prices for affected houses were discounted by 9% after a large flood event on 30 September 2017. This research contributes to the existing literature as follows. First, we study the economic impact of pluvial floods, which has received less attention in existing studies where large and irregular floods are their focus. Second, the inclusion of legal status as a control variable accounts for the unique character of the Vietnamese housing market. Third, we also identify the recovery of house prices after the flood event.

Suggested Citation

  • Nam Bui & Le Wen & Basil Sharp, 2024. "House Prices and Flood Risk Exposure: An Integration of Hedonic Property Model and Spatial Econometric Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(1), pages 100-131, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:69:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s11146-022-09930-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-022-09930-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11146-022-09930-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11146-022-09930-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marco Helbich & Wolfgang Brunauer & Eric Vaz & Peter Nijkamp, 2014. "Spatial Heterogeneity in Hedonic House Price Models: The Case of Austria," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(2), pages 390-411, February.
    2. Alicia N. Rambaldi & Cameron S. Fletcher & Kerry Collins & Ryan R.J. McAllister, 2013. "Housing Shadow Prices in an Inundation-prone Suburb," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(9), pages 1889-1905, July.
    3. Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2015. "Difference-in-differences techniques for spatial data: Local autocorrelation and spatial interaction," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 123-126.
    4. repec:arz:wpaper:eres2014-35 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Dröes, Martijn I. & Koster, Hans R.A., 2016. "Renewable energy and negative externalities: The effect of wind turbines on house prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 121-141.
    6. Paul J. Gertler & Sebastian Martinez & Patrick Premand & Laura B. Rawlings & Christel M. J. Vermeersch, 2016. "Impact Evaluation in Practice, Second Edition," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 25030.
    7. Daniel, Vanessa E. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M. & Rietveld, Piet, 2009. "Flooding risk and housing values: An economic assessment of environmental hazard," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 355-365, December.
    8. Clapp, John M. & Nanda, Anupam & Ross, Stephen L., 2008. "Which school attributes matter? The influence of school district performance and demographic composition on property values," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 451-466, March.
    9. Ash Morgan, 2007. "The Impact of Hurricane Ivan on Expected Flood Losses, Perceived Flood Risk, and Property Values," Journal of Housing Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 47-60, January.
    10. Engle, Robert F. & Lilien, David M. & Watson, Mark, 1985. "A dymimic model of housing price determination," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 307-326, June.
    11. Chris Eves & Sara Wilkinson, 2014. "Assessing the immediate and short-term impact of flooding on residential property participant behaviour," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 1519-1536, April.
    12. Yuting Hou, 2017. "Traffic congestion, accessibility to employment, and housing prices: A study of single-family housing market in Los Angeles County," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(15), pages 3423-3445, November.
    13. Knight, John R & Sirmans, C F & Turnbull, Geoffrey K, 1994. "List Price Signaling and Buyer Behavior in the Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 177-192, November.
    14. Samarasinghe, Oshadhi & Sharp, Basil, 2010. "Flood prone risk and amenity values: a spatial hedonic analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(4), pages 1-19.
    15. Marianthi Stamou & Angelos Mimis & Antonis Rovolis, 2017. "House price determinants in Athens: a spatial econometric approach," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 269-284, October.
    16. Sevrin Waights, 2018. "Does the law of one price hold for hedonic prices?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(15), pages 3299-3317, November.
    17. G. Sirmans & Lynn MacDonald & David Macpherson & Emily Zietz, 2006. "The Value of Housing Characteristics: A Meta Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 215-240, November.
    18. Geoffrey K. Turnbull & Velma Zahirovic-Herbert & Chris Mothorpe, 2013. "Flooding and Liquidity on the Bayou: The Capitalization of Flood Risk into House Value and Ease-of-Sale," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 103-129, March.
    19. Han, Lu & Strange, William C., 2016. "What is the role of the asking price for a house?," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 115-130.
    20. Oshadhi Samarasinghe & Basil Sharp, 2008. "The value of a view: A spatial hedonic analysis," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 59-78.
    21. Rabassa, Mariano Javier & Zoloa, Juan Ignacio, 2016. "Flooding risks and housing markets: a spatial hedonic analysis for La Plata City," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 464-489, August.
    22. Carolin Pommeranz & Bertram I. Steininger, 2020. "Spatial Spillovers in the Pricing of Flood Risk: Insights from the Housing Market," Journal of Housing Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(S1), pages 54-85, December.
    23. Robert J. Hill, 2013. "Hedonic Price Indexes For Residential Housing: A Survey, Evaluation And Taxonomy," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 879-914, December.
    24. Beltrán, Allan & Maddison, David & Elliott, Robert, 2019. "The impact of flooding on property prices: A repeat-sales approach," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 62-86.
    25. Witte, Ann D & Sumka, Howard J & Erekson, Homer, 1979. "An Estimate of a Structural Hedonic Price Model of the Housing Market: An Application of Rosen's Theory of Implicit Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(5), pages 1151-1173, September.
    26. Charles Nyce & Randy E. Dumm & G. Stacy Sirmans & Greg Smersh, 2015. "The Capitalization of Insurance Premiums in House Prices," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 82(4), pages 891-919, December.
    27. Pommeranz, Carolin & Steininger, Bertram, 2020. "Spatial spillovers in the pricing of flood risk: Insights from the housing market," Working Paper Series 20/8, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    28. Liv Osland, 2010. "An Application of Spatial Econometrics in Relation to Hedonic House Price Modelling," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 32(3), pages 289-320.
    29. Luc Anselin, 2010. "Thirty years of spatial econometrics," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(1), pages 3-25, March.
    30. Ajita Atreya & Susana Ferreira, 2015. "Seeing is Believing? Evidence from Property Prices in Inundated Areas," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(5), pages 828-848, May.
    31. Chihiro Shimizu, 2014. "Estimation of Hedonic Single-Family House Price Function Considering Neighborhood Effect Variables," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(5), pages 1-15, May.
    32. Li Zhang & Hongyu Liu & Jing Wu, 2017. "The price premium for green-labelled housing: Evidence from China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(15), pages 3524-3541, November.
    33. Bin, Okmyung & Landry, Craig E., 2013. "Changes in implicit flood risk premiums: Empirical evidence from the housing market," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 361-376.
    34. Okmyung Biny & Stephen Polasky, 2004. "Effects of Flood Hazards on Property Values: Evidence Before and After Hurricane Floyd," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 80(4).
    35. Ronald S. Weberndorfer & Wolfgang A. Brunauer, 2014. "Modelling micro-location variables for hedonic house price models," ERES eres2014_35, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    36. Oshadhi Samarasinghe & Basil Sharp, 2010. "Flood prone risk and amenity values: a spatial hedonic analysis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(4), pages 457-475, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Małgorzata Dudzińska & Barbara Prus & Radosław Cellmer & Stanisław Bacior & Katarzyna Kocur-Bera & Anna Klimach & Agnieszka Trystuła, 2020. "The Impact of Flood Risk on the Activity of the Residential Land Market in a Polish Cultural Heritage Town," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-18, December.
    2. Justin Contat & Carrie Hopkins & Luis Mejia & Matthew Suandi, 2024. "When climate meets real estate: A survey of the literature," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 52(3), pages 618-659, May.
    3. James R. Meldrum, 2016. "Floodplain Price Impacts by Property Type in Boulder County, Colorado: Condominiums Versus Standalone Properties," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 64(4), pages 725-750, August.
    4. Netusil, Noelwah R. & Moeltner, Klaus & Jarrad, Maya, 2019. "Floodplain designation and property sale prices in an urban watershed," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Beltrán, Allan & Maddison, David & Elliott, Robert, 2019. "The impact of flooding on property prices: A repeat-sales approach," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 62-86.
    6. Allan Beltrán & David Maddison & Robert J. R. Elliott, 2018. "Assessing the Economic Benefits of Flood Defenses: A Repeat‐Sales Approach," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(11), pages 2340-2367, November.
    7. Mutlu, Asli & Roy, Debraj & Filatova, Tatiana, 2023. "Capitalized value of evolving flood risks discount and nature-based solution premiums on property prices," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    8. José Armando Cobián Álvarez & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2019. "The cost of floods in developing countries’ megacities: a hedonic price analysis of the Jakarta housing market, Indonesia," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 21(4), pages 555-577, October.
    9. Pei-Ing Wu & Yi Chen & Je-Liang Liou, 2021. "Housing property along riverbanks in Taipei, Taiwan: a spatial quantile modelling of landscape benefits and flooding losses," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 2404-2438, February.
    10. Patrick Doupe & Leo Dobes & Frank Jotzo, 2019. "Improving Understanding of Flood Risk: the Effects of Lowering the Cost of Accessing Flood Risk Information," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 101-117, July.
    11. Levente Timar & Arthur Grimes & Richard Fabling, 2018. "Before a Fall: Impacts of Earthquake Regulation on Commercial Buildings," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 73-90, April.
    12. Paul Frijters & Benno Torgler & Darshana Rajapaksa & Clevo Wilson & Shunsuke Managi & Vincent Hoang & Boon Lee, 2016. "Flood Risk Information, Actual Floods and Property Values: A Quasi-Experimental Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 92, pages 52-67, June.
    13. Graff Zivin, Joshua & Liao, Yanjun & Panassié, Yann, 2023. "How hurricanes sweep up housing markets: Evidence from Florida," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    14. Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Mehdi Feizi & Hassan F. Gholipour, 2019. "Drought and Property Prices: Empirical Evidence from Iran," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201916, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    15. Levente Timar & Arthur Grimes & Richard Fabling, 2014. "That Sinking Feeling: The Changing Price of Disaster Risk Following an Earthquake," Working Papers 14_13, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    16. Lu Fang & Lingxiao Li & Abdullah Yavas, 2023. "The Impact of Distant Hurricane on Local Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 327-372, February.
    17. Quyen Nguyen & Paul Thorsnes & Ivan Diaz‐Rainey & Antoni Moore & Simon Cox & Leon Stirk‐Wang, 2022. "Price recovery after the flood: risk to residential property values from climate change‐related flooding," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(3), pages 532-560, July.
    18. Gabor Bekes & Aron Horvath & Zoltan Sapi, 2016. "Flood risk and housing prices: evidence from Hungary," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1620, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    19. Maha AbdelHalim & Jean Dubé & Nicolas Devaux, 2021. "The Spatial and Temporal Decomposition of the Effect of Floods on Single-Family House Prices: A Laval, Canada Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, May.
    20. Levente Timar & Arthur Grimes & Richard Fabling, 2015. "Before a Fall: Impacts of Earthquake Regulation and Building Codes on the Commercial Building Market," Working Papers 15_19, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:69:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s11146-022-09930-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.