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Intercity Information Diffusion and Price Discovery in Housing Markets: Evidence from Google Searches

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  • Jing Wu
  • Yongheng Deng

Abstract

We provide an innovative measure of information flow in Chinese housing markets based on search records from the Internet search engine Google. The measure depicts a substantial flow of house-price related information from national “superstar” cities, such as Beijing and Shanghai, and regional “star” cities, such as Tianjin and Chongqing, to other “normal” cities. The empirical results based on Granger causality test and turning point detection analysis both suggest that such information diffusion is a key factor that influences the intercity house price discovery process in the short run. The “superstar” and “star” cities lead the country in terms newly-built house prices changes in the sample period between 2006 and 2011. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

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  • Jing Wu & Yongheng Deng, 2015. "Intercity Information Diffusion and Price Discovery in Housing Markets: Evidence from Google Searches," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 289-306, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:50:y:2015:i:3:p:289-306
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-014-9493-9
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiandeng Jiang & Le Chang & Yanlin Shi, 2023. "Housing price diffusions in mainland China: evidence from a spatially penalized graphical VAR model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 765-795, February.
    2. Weida Kuang & Qilin Wang, 2018. "Cultural similarities and housing market linkage: evidence from OECD countries," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, December.
    3. Yongheng Deng & Eric Girardin & Roselyne Joyeux, 2015. "Fundamentals and the Volatility of Real Estate Prices in China: A Sequential Modelling Strategy," Working Papers 222015, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    4. Deng, Yongheng & Girardin, Eric & Joyeux, Roselyne, 2018. "Fundamentals and the volatility of real estate prices in China: A sequential modelling strategy," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 205-222.
    5. Huifu Nong, 2024. "Integration and risk transmission across supply, demand, and prices in China’s housing market," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-28, June.
    6. Dorinth W. van Dijk & Marc K. Francke, 2018. "Internet Search Behavior, Liquidity and Prices in the Housing Market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 46(2), pages 368-403, June.
    7. Yang, Jian & Yu, Ziliang & Deng, Yongheng, 2018. "Housing price spillovers in China: A high-dimensional generalized VAR approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 98-114.
    8. Yang, Jian & Tong, Meng & Yu, Ziliang, 2021. "Housing market spillovers through the lens of transaction volume: A new spillover index approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 351-378.
    9. Enwei Zhu & Jing Wu & Hongyu Liu & Xindian Li, 2022. "Within‐City Spatial Distribution, Heterogeneity and Diffusion of House Price: Evidence from a Spatiotemporal Index for Beijing," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(3), pages 621-655, September.
    10. Enwei Zhu & Jing Wu & Hongyu Liu & Keyang Li, 2023. "A Sentiment Index of the Housing Market in China: Text Mining of Narratives on Social Media," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 77-118, January.
    11. Gong, Yunlong & Hu, Jinxing & Boelhouwer, Peter J., 2016. "Spatial interrelations of Chinese housing markets: Spatial causality, convergence and diffusion," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 103-117.
    12. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2023. "Sentiment-based indicators of real estate market stress and systemic risk: international evidence," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 355-382, September.
    13. Nong, Huifu & Yu, Ziliang & Li, Yang, 2024. "Financial shock transmission in China's banking and housing sectors: A network analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 701-723.
    14. Tien Foo Sing & Yiheng Zou, 2024. "Improving search efficiency in housing markets using online listings," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1020-1044, July.
    15. Tsoyu Calvin Lin & Shih-Hsun Hsu, 2020. "Forecasting Housing Markets from Number of Visits to Actual Price Registration System," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 23(4), pages 505-536.
    16. Ramya Rajajagadeesan Aroul & Sanjiv Sabherwal & Sergiy Saydometov, 2022. "FEAR Index, city characteristics, and housing returns," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 173-205, March.
    17. Agarwal, Sumit & Ding, Yanhao & Kuang, Weida & Zhu, Xiao, 2023. "Are environmental punishments good news or bad news? Evidence from China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

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