IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jfsres/v56y2019i2d10.1007_s10693-018-0298-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Credit Value Adjustment with Market-implied Recovery

Author

Listed:
  • Pascal François

    (HEC Montreal)

  • Weiyu Jiang

    (McGill University)

Abstract

We present a model for CVA calculation in which the recovery rate is inferred from the term structure of CDS spreads. The negative relation between recovery rates and default probabilities induces a substantial underestimation of the CVA when constant recovery is assumed. That underestimation prevails for both unilateral and bilateral CVA as well as for the CVA capital charge. The underestimation gets more severe as the horizon of the position increases. Our CVA model with market-implied recovery also offers a way to capture correlation effects between the level of exposure and counterparty risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Pascal François & Weiyu Jiang, 2019. "Credit Value Adjustment with Market-implied Recovery," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 145-166, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jfsres:v:56:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s10693-018-0298-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10693-018-0298-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10693-018-0298-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10693-018-0298-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bruche, Max & González-Aguado, Carlos, 2010. "Recovery rates, default probabilities, and the credit cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 754-764, April.
    2. Xiao, Tim, 2015. "An Accurate Solution for Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) and Wrong Way Risk," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 25(1), pages 84-95.
    3. Arora, Navneet & Gandhi, Priyank & Longstaff, Francis A., 2012. "Counterparty credit risk and the credit default swap market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(2), pages 280-293.
    4. Bolton, Patrick & Oehmke, Martin, 2015. "Should derivatives be privileged in bankruptcy?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84512, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Robert A. Jarrow & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2008. "Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 17, pages 377-409, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. João Bastos, 2014. "Ensemble Predictions of Recovery Rates," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 46(2), pages 177-193, October.
    7. Tim Xiao, 2015. "An Accurate Solution for Credit Valuation Adjustment and Wrong Way Risk," Post-Print hal-01810490, HAL.
    8. Paul Kupiec, 2007. "Capital Allocation for Portfolio Credit Risk," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 103-122, October.
    9. Marcin Jaskowski & Michael McAleer, 2012. "Estimating Implied Recovery Rates from the Term Structure of CDS Spreads," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2012-28, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    10. Patrick Bolton & Martin Oehmke, 2015. "Should Derivatives Be Privileged in Bankruptcy?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(6), pages 2353-2394, December.
    11. Ji Shen & Hongjun Yan & Jinfan Zhang, 2014. "Collateral-Motivated Financial Innovation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(10), pages 2961-2997.
    12. Unal, Haluk & Madan, Dilip & Guntay, Levent, 2003. "Pricing the risk of recovery in default with absolute priority rule violation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1001-1025, June.
    13. Sanjiv Das, 2007. "Basel II: Correlation Related Issues," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 32(1), pages 17-38, October.
    14. Xiao, Tim, 2013. "An Accurate Solution for Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) and Wrong Way Risk," MPRA Paper 47104, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Laura Ballotta & Gianluca Fusai, 2015. "Counterparty credit risk in a multivariate structural model with jumps," Finance, Presses universitaires de Grenoble, vol. 36(1), pages 39-74.
    16. Edward I. Altman & Brooks Brady & Andrea Resti & Andrea Sironi, 2005. "The Link between Default and Recovery Rates: Theory, Empirical Evidence, and Implications," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(6), pages 2203-2228, November.
    17. Düllmann, Klaus & Trapp, Monika, 2004. "Systematic Risk in Recovery Rates: An Empirical Analysis of US Corporate Credit Exposures," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2004,02, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    18. Alexander David, 2008. "Inflation Uncertainty, Asset Valuations, and the Credit Spreads Puzzle," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(6), pages 2487-2534, November.
    19. Hull, John & White, Alan, 1995. "The impact of default risk on the prices of options and other derivative securities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 299-322, May.
    20. Samim Ghamami & Lisa R. Goldberg, 2014. "Stochastic Intensity Models of Wrong Way Risk: Wrong Way CVA Need Not Exceed Independent CVA," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-54, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pascal François, 2019. "The Determinants of Market-Implied Recovery Rates," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-15, May.
    2. Barbagli, Matteo & François, Pascal & Gauthier, Geneviève & Vrins, Frédéric, 2024. "The role of CDS spreads in explaining bond recovery rates," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2024002, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    3. Jean‐François Bégin & Mathieu Boudreault & Mathieu Thériault, 2024. "Leveraging prices from credit and equity option markets for portfolio risk management," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 122-147, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pascal François, 2019. "The Determinants of Market-Implied Recovery Rates," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-15, May.
    2. Schläfer, Timo & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese, 2014. "Is recovery risk priced?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 257-270.
    3. David Lee, 2018. "Pricing Financial Derivatives Subject to Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment," Working Papers hal-01758922, HAL.
    4. Xiao, Tim, 2018. "The Valuation of Financial Derivatives Subject to Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment," FrenXiv ds7zj, Center for Open Science.
    5. Xiao, Tim, 2018. "The Valuation of Credit Default Swap with Counterparty Risk and Collateralization," EconStor Preprints 203447, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    6. Thamayanthi Chellathurai, 2017. "Probability Density Of Recovery Rate Given Default Of A Firm’S Debt And Its Constituent Tranches," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-34, June.
    7. Hwang, Ruey-Ching & Chu, Chih-Kang & Yu, Kaizhi, 2020. "Predicting LGD distributions with mixed continuous and discrete ordinal outcomes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1003-1022.
    8. Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler & Aelta Belyaeva & Konstantin Belyaev, 2017. "The Time Dimension of the Links Between Loss Given Default and the Macroeconomy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(6), pages 462-491, October.
    9. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    10. Duffie, Darrell, 2005. "Credit risk modeling with affine processes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2751-2802, November.
    11. Jean-David Fermanian, 2020. "On the Dependence between Default Risk and Recovery Rates in Structural Models," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 140, pages 45-82.
    12. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    13. Duffie, Darrell, 2003. "Intertemporal asset pricing theory," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 639-742, Elsevier.
    14. Li, Zelei & Wang, Xingchun, 2020. "Valuing spread options with counterparty risk and jump risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    15. Pu, Xiaoling & Zhao, Xinlei, 2012. "Correlation in credit risk changes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1093-1106.
    16. Che Guo & Xingchun Wang, 2022. "Pricing vulnerable options under correlated skew Brownian motions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 852-867, May.
    17. Li, Gang & Zhang, Chu, 2019. "Counterparty credit risk and derivatives pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 647-668.
    18. Castellano, Rosella & Corallo, Vincenzo & Morelli, Giacomo, 2022. "Structural estimation of counterparty credit risk under recovery risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    19. Tian‐Shyr Dai & Chen‐Chiang Fan & Liang‐Chih Liu & Chuan‐Ju Wang & Jr‐Yan Wang, 2022. "A stochastic‐volatility equity‐price tree for pricing convertible bonds with endogenous firm values and default risks determined by the first‐passage default model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(12), pages 2103-2134, December.
    20. Martin Dòzsa & Karel Janda, 2015. "Corporate asset pricing models and debt contracts," CAMA Working Papers 2015-33, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jfsres:v:56:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s10693-018-0298-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.