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The impact of shadow banking on the implementation of Chinese monetary policy

Author

Listed:
  • Tommaso Gabrieli

    (University College London)

  • Keith Pilbeam

    (University of London)

  • Bingxi Shi

    (Fubon Bank China)

Abstract

This paper empirically analyses the relationship between the shadow banking system and implementation of monetary policy in China using the VECM methodology. We show that an increase in the size of shadow banking sector increases the independence of bank lending from the policies of the People Bank of China. We also find that Shadow Banking works in an asymmetric fashion in that it amplifies increases in the money supply but weakens the effects of restrictive interest rate-based monetary policy decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Tommaso Gabrieli & Keith Pilbeam & Bingxi Shi, 2018. "The impact of shadow banking on the implementation of Chinese monetary policy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 429-447, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:15:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10368-017-0397-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10368-017-0397-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer & Robert W. Vishny, 2013. "A Model of Shadow Banking," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(4), pages 1331-1363, August.
    2. Sun, Rongrong, 2013. "Does monetary policy matter in China? A narrative approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 56-74.
    3. Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2009. "Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-2008," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 23(1), pages 77-100, Winter.
    4. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    5. Tong Li, 2014. "Shadow banking in China: expanding scale, evolving structure," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 6(3), pages 198-211, July.
    6. Li, Jianjun & Hsu, Sara & Qin, Yanzhi, 2014. "Shadow banking in China: Institutional risks," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 119-129.
    7. Fernald, John G. & Spiegel, Mark M. & Swanson, Eric T., 2014. "Monetary policy effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(PA), pages 83-103.
    8. Hou, Xiaohui & Wang, Qing, 2013. "Implications of banking marketization for the lending channel of monetary policy transmission: Evidence from China," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 442-451.
    9. MacKinnon, James G & Haug, Alfred A & Michelis, Leo, 1999. "Numerical Distribution Functions of Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegration," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(5), pages 563-577, Sept.-Oct.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tommaso Gabrieli & Keith Pilbeam & Tianyu Wang, 2018. "Estimation of bubble dynamics in the Chinese real estate market: a State space model," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 483-499, April.
    2. Ridoy Deb Nath & Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury, 2021. "Shadow banking: a bibliometric and content analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-29, December.
    3. Phuong Mai Le, Vo & Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xiao, Zhiguo, 2022. "Regulatory arbitrage, shadow banking and monetary policy in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Chaowei Wang & Vo Phuong Mai Le & Kent Matthews & Peng Zhou, 2021. "Shadow banking activity and entrusted loans in a DSGE model of China," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(5), pages 445-469, September.
    5. Shah, Syed Mehmood Raza & Fu, Qiang & Dawood, Muhammad & Ishfaq, Muhammad, 2020. "Issuance of Wealth Management Products and Expected Yields; A Shadow Banking Perspective," MPRA Paper 104147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Shadow banking; Chinese economy; Monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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