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Material Accounting in a Macroeconomic Framework: Forecast of Waste Generated in Manufacturing Industries in Norway

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  • Karin Ibenholt

Abstract

This paper analyses the generation of waste inproduction processes using a technique based onthe physical law of conservation of mass.According to this law, mass going into aproduction process must equal the mass comingout of the same process. The paper uses thismass balance perspective to refine a previouslydeveloped technique for forecasting wastequantities. A macroeconomic model predicts theuse of intermediate inputs and production inmonetary units, and by multiplying thesevariables with weight conversion factors weestimate physical amounts going into and out ofproduction. The difference between input andoutput, the residual, consists of discharges toland, water and air. We predict a growth in theresiduals from manufacturing industries of 74%from 1993 to 2010. This growth is partly explained by an anticipated growth in material intensity. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

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  • Karin Ibenholt, 2003. "Material Accounting in a Macroeconomic Framework: Forecast of Waste Generated in Manufacturing Industries in Norway," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 26(2), pages 227-248, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:enreec:v:26:y:2003:i:2:p:227-248
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1026346119612
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Annegrete Bruvoll & Karin Ibenholt, 1996. "Future Waste Generation - Forecasts Based on a Macroeconomic Model," Discussion Papers 175, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    2. Frenger, Petter, 1978. "Factor Substitution in the Interindustry Model and the Use of Inconsistent Aggregation," Histoy of Economic Thought Chapters, in: Fuss, Melvyn & McFadden, Daniel (ed.),Production Economics: A Dual Approach to Theory and Applications, volume 2, chapter 10, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought.
    3. Dellink, Rob B. & Kandelaars, Patricia P. A. A. H., 2000. "An empirical analysis of dematerialisation:: Application to metal policies in The Netherlands," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 205-218, May.
    4. Patricia Kandelaars & Jeroen Bergh, 1996. "Materials-product chains: Theory and an application to zinc and PVC gutters," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 8(1), pages 97-118, July.
    5. Ginley, Douglas M, 1994. "Material flows in the transport industry : An example of industrial metabolism," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 169-181, September.
    6. Karin Ibenholt, 1998. "Material Accounting in a Macroeconomic Framework Forecast of waste generated in manufacturing industries in Norway," Discussion Papers 236, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
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    Cited by:

    1. Maria Ljunggren Söderman & Ola Eriksson & Anna Björklund & Göran Östblom & Tomas Ekvall & Göran Finnveden & Yevgeniya Arushanyan & Jan-Olov Sundqvist, 2016. "Integrated Economic and Environmental Assessment of Waste Policy Instruments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-21, April.
    2. Persson, Urban & Münster, Marie, 2016. "Current and future prospects for heat recovery from waste in European district heating systems: A literature and data review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 116-128.

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