IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/compec/v63y2024i3d10.1007_s10614-023-10523-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does COVID-19 Outbreak Push Saudi Crude Oil to Connect with Selected GCC Equity Market? Insight of Time Varying Linkage

Author

Listed:
  • Miklesh Yadav

    (Indian Institute of Foreign Trade)

  • Sabia Tabassum

    (Amity University)

  • Anas Ali AlQudah

    (Liwa College)

  • Manaf Al-Okaily

    (Jadara University)

  • Myriam Aloulou

    (Liwa College)

  • Nikola Stakic

    (Singidunum University)

  • Marcos Santos

    (Instituto Militar de Engenharia)

Abstract

This paper attempts to investigate the dynamic linkages between Saudi crude oil prices to the select GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) equity market during COVID-19 outbreak. We measure the Saudi oil market as Saudi Aramco share price while equity market of GCC economies is proxied as DFM General Equity, MSCI Qatar Equity, Kuwait Main Market 50, MSCI Oman Equity and Bahrain All Share Equity respectively. The data examined markets is collected extending from December 31, 2019 to July 31, 2022. Empirically, the result unfolds that there is no linkage of Saudi crude oil with Bahrain equity market in both short and long run; rest market is witnessed with mixed of linkage in short and long run. Additionally, it reveals that Oman stock market is the highest contributor while Bahrain equity market is the highest receiver of the shock. The more connectedness is found in the long run comparatively. This study furnishes an insight to the various stakeholders of the crude oil markets and financial markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Miklesh Yadav & Sabia Tabassum & Anas Ali AlQudah & Manaf Al-Okaily & Myriam Aloulou & Nikola Stakic & Marcos Santos, 2024. "Does COVID-19 Outbreak Push Saudi Crude Oil to Connect with Selected GCC Equity Market? Insight of Time Varying Linkage," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 1047-1070, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s10614-023-10523-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-023-10523-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10614-023-10523-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10614-023-10523-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ouyang, Zisheng & Zhou, Xuewei & Lai, Yongzeng, 2023. "Global stock markets risk contagion: Evidence from multilayer connectedness networks in the frequency domain," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Jozef Baruník & Tomáš Křehlík, 2018. "Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 271-296.
    3. Charfeddine, Lanouar & Al Refai, Hisham, 2019. "Political tensions, stock market dependence and volatility spillover: Evidence from the recent intra-GCC crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Abuzayed, Bana & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2021. "Risk spillover from crude oil prices to GCC stock market returns: New evidence during the COVID-19 outbreak," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Risk spillovers and hedging effectiveness between major commodities, and Islamic and conventional GCC banks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 68-88.
    6. Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael & Tansuchat, Roengchai, 2013. "Conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 116-138.
    7. Yousaf, Imran & Beljid, Makram & Chaibi, Anis & Ajlouni, Ahmed AL, 2022. "Do volatility spillover and hedging among GCC stock markets and global factors vary from normal to turbulent periods? Evidence from the global financial crisis and Covid-19 pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    8. Kumar, Satish & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between oil, natural gas, and stock prices in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 282-291.
    9. Lu, Xunfa & Huang, Nan & Mo, Jianlei & Ye, Zhitao, 2023. "Dynamics of the return and volatility connectedness among green finance markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    10. Nyakurukwa, Kingstone & Seetharam, Yudhvir, 2023. "Quantile and asymmetric return connectedness among BRICS stock markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    11. Liow, Kim Hiang & Newell, Graeme, 2016. "Real estate global beta and spillovers: An international study," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 297-313.
    12. Abdullah Alqahtani & Julien Chevallier, 2020. "Dynamic Spillovers between Gulf Cooperation Council’s Stocks, VIX, Oil and Gold Volatility Indices," Post-Print halshs-04250237, HAL.
    13. Just, Małgorzata & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2022. "Dynamic spillover transmission in agricultural commodity markets: What has changed after the COVID-19 threat?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    14. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2018. "Return transmission and asymmetric volatility spillovers between oil futures and oil equities: New DCC-MEGARCH analyses," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 167-185.
    15. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2019. "Separating BRIC using Islamic stocks and crude oil: dynamic conditional correlation and volatility spillover analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 950-969.
    16. Alotaibi, Abdullah R. & Mishra, Anil V., 2015. "Global and regional volatility spillovers to GCC stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 38-49.
    17. JEBABLI, Ikram & KOUAISSAH, Noureddine & AROURI, Mohamed, 2022. "Volatility Spillovers between Stock and Energy Markets during Crises: A Comparative Assessment between the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the Covid-19 Pandemic Crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    18. Warshaw, Evan, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between European equity and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the frequency domain," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-14.
    19. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Sarwar, Suleman & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2019. "Analysing volatility spillover between the oil market and the stock market in oil-importing and oil-exporting countries: Implications on portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 22-32.
    20. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Awartani, Basel & Tziogkidis, Panagiotis, 2017. "Volatility spillovers and cross-hedging between gold, oil and equities: Evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 440-453.
    21. Wang, Lu & Guan, Li & Ding, Qian & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Asymmetric impact of COVID-19 news on the connectedness of the green energy, dirty energy, and non-ferrous metal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    22. Rajwani, Shegorika & Kumar Tiwar, Aviral & Prasad Yadav, Miklesh & Sharma, Sakshi, 2023. "Dynamic Linkages of Energy Commodities with Bullion and Metal Market: Evidence of Portfolio Hedging," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 26(1), pages 148-179, May.
    23. Abdullah Alqahtani & Julien Chevallier, 2020. "Dynamic Spillovers between Gulf Cooperation Council’s Stocks, VIX, Oil and Gold Volatility Indices," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cui, Jinxin & Goh, Mark & Li, Binlin & Zou, Huiwen, 2021. "Dynamic dependence and risk connectedness among oil and stock markets: New evidence from time-frequency domain perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Evrim Mandacı, Pınar & Cagli, Efe Çaglar & Taşkın, Dilvin, 2020. "Dynamic connectedness and portfolio strategies: Energy and metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    3. Addi, Abdelhamid & Bouoiyour, Jamal, 2023. "Interconnectedness and extreme risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    4. Coskun, Merve & Taspinar, Nigar, 2022. "Volatility spillovers between Turkish energy stocks and fossil fuel energy commodities based on time and frequency domain approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Belhassine, Olfa & Karamti, Chiraz, 2021. "Volatility spillovers and hedging effectiveness between oil and stock markets: Evidence from a wavelet-based and structural breaks analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    6. Roudari, Soheil & Sadeghi, Abdorasoul & Gholami, Samad & Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, 2023. "Dynamic spillovers among natural gas, liquid natural gas, trade policy uncertainty, and stock market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Bouri, Elie & Abuzayed, Bana, 2023. "Decomposed oil price shocks and GCC stock market sector returns and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Maghyereh, Aktham & Awartani, Basel & Virk, Nader S., 2022. "Asymmetric risk transmissions between oil, gold and US equities: Recent evidence from the realized variance of the futures prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Mensi, Walid & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Volatility spillovers between strategic commodity futures and stock markets and portfolio implications: Evidence from developed and emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    10. Ashfaq, Saleha & Tang, Yong & Maqbool, Rashid, 2019. "Volatility spillover impact of world oil prices on leading Asian energy exporting and importing economies’ stock returns," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    11. Lu, Xunfa & Huang, Nan & Mo, Jianlei, 2024. "Time-varying causalities from the COVID-19 media coverage to the dynamic spillovers among the cryptocurrency, the clean energy, and the crude oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    12. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Ahmed, Habib & Husam Helmi, Mohamad, 2023. "Determinants of financial stability and risk transmission in dual financial system: Evidence from the COVID pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    13. Kapar, Burcu & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Rana, Faisal & Balli, Faruk, 2024. "An investigation of the frequency dynamics of spillovers and connectedness among GCC sectoral indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1442-1467.
    14. Ngo Thai Hung, 2021. "Financial connectedness of GCC emerging stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(4), pages 753-773, December.
    15. Ouyang, Zisheng & Zhou, Xuewei & Wang, Gang-jin & Liu, Shuwen & Lu, Min, 2024. "Multilayer networks in the frequency domain: Measuring volatility connectedness among Chinese financial institutions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 909-928.
    16. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2020. "Dynamic frequency connectedness between oil and natural gas volatilities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 181-189.
    17. Yufeng Chen & Wenqi Li & Xi Jin, 2018. "Volatility Spillovers between Crude Oil Prices and New Energy Stock Price in China," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 43-62, December.
    18. Siddique, Md Abubakar & Nobanee, Haitham & Karim, Sitara & Naz, Farah, 2022. "Investigating the role of metal and commodity classes in overcoming resource destabilization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    19. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Cunado, Juncal & Filis, George & Gabauer, David & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2018. "Oil volatility, oil and gas firms and portfolio diversification," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 499-515.
    20. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets: Dynamic connectedness under the prism of recent geopolitical and economic unrest," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-26.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s10614-023-10523-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.