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A Forecasting Model for Stock Market Diversity

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  • Francesco Audrino
  • Robert Fernholz
  • Roberto Ferretti

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Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Audrino & Robert Fernholz & Roberto Ferretti, 2007. "A Forecasting Model for Stock Market Diversity," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 213-240, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:3:y:2007:i:2:p:213-240
    DOI: 10.1007/s10436-006-0046-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003. "Choosing the Best Volatility Models: The Model Confidence Set Approach," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 839-861, December.
    2. Conrad, Jennifer & Kaul, Gautam, 1988. "Time-Variation in Expected Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 61(4), pages 409-425, October.
    3. Andrew W. Lo, A. Craig MacKinlay, 1988. "Stock Market Prices do not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 41-66.
    4. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1996. "Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 55-84, March.
    5. Francesco Audrino & Fabio Trojani, 2006. "Estimating and predicting multivariate volatility thresholds in global stock markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 345-369, April.
    6. Gray, Stephen F., 1996. "Modeling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime-switching process," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 27-62, September.
    7. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    8. Fernholz, Robert, 1999. "On the diversity of equity markets," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 393-417, April.
    9. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    10. Robert Fernholz, 2001. "Equity portfolios generated by functions of ranked market weights," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 469-486.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Efstathios Polyzos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2024. "Autoregressive Random Forests: Machine Learning and Lag Selection for Financial Research," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 225-262, July.
    2. Andrey Sarantsev, 2014. "On a class of diverse market models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 291-314, May.
    3. Steven Campbell & Qien Song & Ting-Kam Leonard Wong, 2024. "Macroscopic properties of equity markets: stylized facts and portfolio performance," Papers 2409.10859, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Diversity; Generalized tree-structured threshold models; Maximum-likelihood estimation; Diversity-based portfolio strategies; C10; C13; C22; G11;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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