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Financial Markets and Terrorism: The Perspective of the Two Sides of the Conflict

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  • Rafi Eldor
  • Shmuel Hauser
  • Yoram Kroll
  • Sharbel Shoukair

Abstract

This paper uses a unique data set and advanced econometric methods to examine the effect of terrorism on financial markets of both sides of the barricade in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The main finding are- (1) Real economies on both sides suffered significantly during the intifada period; (2) On the avarege share prices on the Israeli side declined significantly due to terror attack by 0.43% where the decline on the other side (probably due to fear of retaliation) was much less and insignificant; (3) There is a bi-directional causality effects of returns in the two markets and both markets are affected by the US market; (4) The more fatal the terror attack is, the greater is the negative effect in the two markets. In the more severe terror attack event (i.e. more people were killed and injured or if it was suicide attack), share prices in the Israeli market declined significantly by 0.63% compared to a decline of 0.16% in less severe attacks. The same pattern, but less significant is revealed on the Palestinian side. In the more severe terror attack, share prices declined significantly by 0.21% compared with 0.07% in less severe attacks.

Suggested Citation

  • Rafi Eldor & Shmuel Hauser & Yoram Kroll & Sharbel Shoukair, 2012. "Financial Markets and Terrorism: The Perspective of the Two Sides of the Conflict," Journal of Business Administration Research, Journal of Business Administration Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 1(2), pages 18-29, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:jfr:jbar11:v:1:y:2012:i:2:p:18-29
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal, 2003. "The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 113-132, March.
    2. Chen, Andrew H. & Siems, Thomas F., 2004. "The effects of terrorism on global capital markets," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 349-366, June.
    3. Drakos, Konstantinos, 2004. "Terrorism-induced structural shifts in financial risk: airline stocks in the aftermath of the September 11th terror attacks," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 435-446, June.
    4. Bruck, Tilman & Wickstrom, Bengt-Arne, 2004. "The economic consequences of terror: guest editors' introduction," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 293-300, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Faheem Aslam & Amir Rafique & Aneel Salman & Hyoung-Goo Kang & Wahbeeah Mohti, 2018. "The Impact Of Terrorism On Financial Markets: Evidence From Asia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(05), pages 1183-1204, December.
    2. Firuze Simay SEZGIN & Caner ÖZDURAK, 2023. "Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 113-132, January.
    3. Papakyriakou, Panayiotis & Sakkas, Athanasios & Taoushianis, Zenon, 2019. "The impact of terrorist attacks in G7 countries on international stock markets and the role of investor sentiment," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 143-160.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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