IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jfr/afr111/v5y2016i1p130.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Chapter 11 Stocks: Information Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Xavier Brédart
  • Nadine Levratto
  • Messaoud Zouikri

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to apprehend the information uncertainty inherent to stocks of U.S. firms around their filing for reorganization procedure. To this end, a Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model is proposed to analyze information uncertainty (volatility is used as a proxy) around the filing announcement for reorganization procedure (chapter 11) of 435 U.S. firms during the period 2000-2012. Our results show that the volatility of stock returns generally increases on and after the announcement date for bankruptcy procedure but also that shocks may be observed at different periods. This study may be of interest for investors considering distressed stocks as a potential element of diversification.

Suggested Citation

  • Xavier Brédart & Nadine Levratto & Messaoud Zouikri, 2016. "Chapter 11 Stocks: Information Uncertainty," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 5(1), pages 130-130, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:jfr:afr111:v:5:y:2016:i:1:p:130
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.sciedupress.com/journal/index.php/afr/article/download/8450/5398
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.sciedupress.com/journal/index.php/afr/article/view/8450
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aharony, Joseph & Jones, Charles P & Swary, Itzhak, 1980. "An Analysis of Risk and Return Characteristics of Corporate Bankruptcy Using Capital Market Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(4), pages 1001-1016, September.
    2. Richard T. Baillie & Huimin Chung, 2001. "Estimation of GARCH Models from the Autocorrelations of the Squares of a Process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(6), pages 631-650, November.
    3. Chi, Li-Chiu & Tang, Tseng-Chung, 2007. "Impact of reorganization announcements on distressed-stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 749-767, September.
    4. Dawkins, Mark C. & Bhattacharya, Nilabhra & Bamber, Linda Smith, 2007. "Systematic Share Price Fluctuations after Bankruptcy Filings and the Investors Who Drive Them," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(2), pages 399-419, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Yuanzhi & Zhong, Zhaodong (Ken), 2013. "Investing in Chapter 11 stocks: Trading, value, and performance," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 33-60.
    2. Gunturu, Vamsi Krishna & Abidi, Qambar, 2023. "A study on impact of IBC," MPRA Paper 116850, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Xavier Bredart, 2014. "Firms under Judicial Protection: A Profitable Investment?," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 5(2), pages 14-22, September.
    4. Catherine Refait, 2004. "La prévision de la faillite fondée sur l’analyse financière de l’entreprise : un état des lieux," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 162(1), pages 129-147.
    5. Storti, G., 2006. "Minimum distance estimation of GARCH(1,1) models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 1803-1821, December.
    6. Prono, Todd, 2011. "When A Factor Is Measured with Error: The Role of Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Identifying and Estimating Linear Factor Models," MPRA Paper 33593, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Liao, Jui-Jung & Shih, Ching-Hui & Chen, Tai-Feng & Hsu, Ming-Fu, 2014. "An ensemble-based model for two-class imbalanced financial problem," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 175-183.
    8. Chi, Li-Chiu, 2009. "Contagion and competitive effects of plan confirmation of reorganization filings: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 364-369, March.
    9. Jacquier, Eric & Titman, Sheridan & YalçIn, Atakan, 2010. "Predicting systematic risk: Implications from growth options," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 991-1005, December.
    10. Luís M. S. Coelho & Rúben M. T. Peixinho & Siri Terjensen, 2012. "Going concern opinions are not bad news: Evidence from industry rivals," Working Papers Department of Economics 2012/16, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    11. Antonis Demos, 2002. "Moments and dynamic structure of a time-varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 5(2), pages 345-357, June.
    12. Azamo, Baudouin Tameze & Krämer, Walter, 2006. "Structural Change and long memory in the GARCH(1,1)-model," Technical Reports 2006,33, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
    13. T. Pham & D. Chow, 1989. "Some Estimates of Direct and Indirect Bankruptcy Costs in Australia: September 1978–May 1983," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 14(1), pages 75-95, June.
    14. M. Karanasos & J. Kim, 2003. "Moments of the ARMA--EGARCH model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 146-166, June.
    15. Azusa Takeyama & Nick Constantinou & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2012. "Credit Risk Contagion and the Global Financial Crisis," IMES Discussion Paper Series 12-E-15, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    16. Grammig, Joachim & Küchlin, Eva-Maria, 2017. "A two-step indirect inference approach to estimate the long-run risk asset pricing model," CFR Working Papers 17-01, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    17. T.G. Saji, 2018. "Financial Distress and Stock Market Failures: Lessons from Indian Realty Sector," Vision, , vol. 22(1), pages 50-60, March.
    18. Collins C Ngwakwe, 2023. "Stock Market Price Effect of the Silicon Valley Bank Failure - A Pre and Within Analysis," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 2, pages 75-82, June.
    19. Ruiz Esther & Pérez Ana, 2012. "Maximally Autocorrelated Power Transformations: A Closer Look at the Properties of Stochastic Volatility Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(3), pages 1-33, September.
    20. Soosung Hwang & Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2006. "Small sample properties of GARCH estimates and persistence," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(6-7), pages 473-494.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jfr:afr111:v:5:y:2016:i:1:p:130. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sciedu Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.