IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ortrsc/v9y1975i3p248-282.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Behavioural Explanation of the Association Between Bus and Passenger Arrivals at a Bus Stop

Author

Listed:
  • J. K. Jolliffe

    (University College London, London, England)

  • T. P. Hutchinson

    (University College London, London, England)

Abstract

The times of arrivals of passengers and departures of buses have been observed at ten bus stops in suburban London. The different bus stops were observed at different times of the day, but the observations at each were repeated at the same time on each of eight different days. Due to the predictability of the bus services, passengers' waiting times were observed to be about 30 per cent less than they would have been had the passengers arrived at random times. An explanation of this involves considering passengers to be of three types: a proportion q whose arrival time is causally coincidental with the bus, a proportion p (1 - q ) who arrive at the optimal time (the time at which the expected waiting time is smallest), and a proportion (1 - p )(1 - q ) who arrive at random. It was found that p is positively correlated with the expected gain from arriving at the optimal time as opposed to arriving at random. Furthermore, p was found to be larger at those bus stops observed in the peak than at those observed in the off-peak. A number of other results relating various parameters of the bus services are also given.

Suggested Citation

  • J. K. Jolliffe & T. P. Hutchinson, 1975. "A Behavioural Explanation of the Association Between Bus and Passenger Arrivals at a Bus Stop," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(3), pages 248-282, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ortrsc:v:9:y:1975:i:3:p:248-282
    DOI: 10.1287/trsc.9.3.248
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/trsc.9.3.248
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/trsc.9.3.248?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. de Palma, André & Lindsey, Robin, 2001. "Optimal timetables for public transportation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 789-813, September.
    2. Guido Gentile & Sang Nguyen & Stefano Pallottino, 2005. "Route Choice on Transit Networks with Online Information at Stops," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(3), pages 289-297, August.
    3. Andres, Matthias & Nair, Rahul, 2017. "A predictive-control framework to address bus bunching," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 123-148.
    4. Tisato, Peter, 1998. "Service unreliability and bus subsidy," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 423-436, August.
    5. Yu, Ming-Miin & Chen, Li-Hsueh & Hsiao, Bo, 2018. "A performance-based subsidy allocation of ferry transportation: A data envelopment approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 13-19.
    6. Klumpenhouwer, W. & Wirasinghe, S.C., 2018. "Optimal time point configuration of a bus route - A Markovian approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PA), pages 209-227.
    7. Mohammad Reza Amin-Naseri & Vahid Baradaran, 2015. "Accurate Estimation of Average Waiting Time in Public Transportation Systems," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(2), pages 213-222, May.
    8. Dessouky, Maged & Singh, Ajay & Hall, Randolph, 1997. "Transit ITS Simulator (TRANSITS): Design Document," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt49k184rv, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    9. Barabino, Benedetto & Di Francesco, Massimo & Mozzoni, Sara, 2015. "Rethinking bus punctuality by integrating Automatic Vehicle Location data and passenger patterns," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 84-95.
    10. Mark D. Hickman, 2001. "An Analytic Stochastic Model for the Transit Vehicle Holding Problem," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 215-237, August.
    11. Alexander Webb & Pramesh Kumar & Alireza Khani, 2020. "Estimation of passenger waiting time using automatically collected transit data," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 299-311, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ortrsc:v:9:y:1975:i:3:p:248-282. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.