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Costly Interpretation of Asset Prices

Author

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  • Jordi Mondria

    (Department of Economics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 3G7, Canada)

  • Xavier Vives

    (IESE Business School, 08034 Barcelona, Spain)

  • Liyan Yang

    (Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 3E6, Canada; Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, 100871 Peking, China)

Abstract

We propose a model in which investors cannot costlessly process information from asset prices. At the trading stage, investors are boundedly rational, and their interpretation of prices injects noise into the price, generating a source of endogenous noise trading. Our setup predicts price momentum and yields excessive return volatility and excessive trading volume. In an overall equilibrium, investors optimally choose sophistication levels by balancing the benefit of beating the market against the cost of acquiring sophistication. There can exist strategic complementarity in sophistication acquisition, leading to multiple equilibria.

Suggested Citation

  • Jordi Mondria & Xavier Vives & Liyan Yang, 2022. "Costly Interpretation of Asset Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 52-74, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:68:y:2022:i:1:p:52-74
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2020.3871
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    Cited by:

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    3. Zhou, Xuan & Kang, Junqing, 2023. "Searching for ESG Information: Heterogeneous Preferences and Information Acquisition," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    4. George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo, 2021. "Myopia and Anchoring," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(4), pages 1166-1200, April.
    5. Corgnet, Brice & DeSantis, Mark & Porter, David, 2020. "The distribution of information and the price efficiency of markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    6. Kohlhas, Alexandre N., 2020. "An informational rationale for action over disclosure," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    7. Hirota, Shinichi, 2023. "Money supply, opinion dispersion, and stock prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 1286-1310.
    8. Matteo Bizzarri & Daniele d'Arienzo, 2023. "The social value of overreaction to information," CSEF Working Papers 690, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    9. Jonathan G. James & Philip Lawler, 2024. "Clarity of Central Bank Communication and the Social Value of Public Information," Working Papers 2024-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
    10. Martineau, Charles & Zoican, Marius, 2023. "Retail trading and analyst coverage," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

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