IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ormnsc/v65y2019i7p3235-3254.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal Product Design by Sequential Experiments in High Dimensions

Author

Listed:
  • Mingyu Joo

    (School of Business, University of California, Riverside, Riverside, California 92507)

  • Michael L. Thompson

    (The Procter & Gamble Company, Cincinnati, Ohio 45202)

  • Greg M. Allenby6

    (Department of Marketing and Logistics, Fisher College of Business, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio 43210)

Abstract

The identification of optimal product and package designs is challenged when attributes and their levels interact. Firms recognize this by testing trial products and designs prior to launch, during which the effects of interactions are revealed. A difficulty in conducting analysis for product design is dealing with the high dimensionality of the design space and the selection of promising product configurations for testing. We propose an experimental criterion for efficiently testing product profiles with high demand potential in sequential experiments. The criterion is based on the expected improvement in market share of a design beyond the current best alternative. We also incorporate a stochastic search variable selection method to selectively estimate relevant interactions among the attributes. A validation experiment confirms that our proposed method leads to improved design concepts in a high-dimensional space compared with alternative methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Mingyu Joo & Michael L. Thompson & Greg M. Allenby6, 2019. "Optimal Product Design by Sequential Experiments in High Dimensions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(7), pages 3235-3254, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:65:y:2019:i:7:p:3235-3254
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2018.3088
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3088
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3088?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eric M. Schwartz & Eric T. Bradlow & Peter S. Fader, 2017. "Customer Acquisition via Display Advertising Using Multi-Armed Bandit Experiments," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(4), pages 500-522, July.
    2. Allenby, Greg M & Rossi, Peter E, 1991. "There Is No Aggregate Bias: Why Macro Logit Models Work," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, January.
    3. Steven L. Scott, 2010. "A modern Bayesian look at the multi‐armed bandit," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(6), pages 639-658, November.
    4. Daria Dzyabura & John R. Hauser, 2011. "Active Machine Learning for Consideration Heuristics," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(5), pages 801-819, September.
    5. Olivier Toubia & Duncan I. Simester & John R. Hauser & Ely Dahan, 2003. "Fast Polyhedral Adaptive Conjoint Estimation," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 22(3), pages 273-303.
    6. Steven T. Berry, 1994. "Estimating Discrete-Choice Models of Product Differentiation," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 25(2), pages 242-262, Summer.
    7. Brezzi, Monica & Lai, Tze Leung, 2002. "Optimal learning and experimentation in bandit problems," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 87-108, November.
    8. Dongling Huang & Lan Luo, 2016. "Consumer Preference Elicitation of Complex Products Using Fuzzy Support Vector Machine Active Learning," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 445-464, May.
    9. Weitzman, Martin L, 1979. "Optimal Search for the Best Alternative," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(3), pages 641-654, May.
    10. Qing Liu & Thomas Otter & Greg M. Allenby, 2007. "Investigating Endogeneity Bias in Marketing," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(5), pages 642-650, 09-10.
    11. P. V. (Sundar) Balakrishnan & Varghese S. Jacob, 1996. "Genetic Algorithms for Product Design," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(8), pages 1105-1117, August.
    12. Olivier Toubia & John Hauser & Rosanna Garcia, 2007. "Probabilistic Polyhedral Methods for Adaptive Choice-Based Conjoint Analysis: Theory and Application," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(5), pages 596-610, 09-10.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. YiChun Miriam Liu & Jeff D. Brazell & Greg M. Allenby, 2022. "Non-linear pricing effects in conjoint analysis," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 397-430, December.
    2. Gupta, Shaphali & Leszkiewicz, Agata & Kumar, V. & Bijmolt, Tammo & Potapov, Dmitriy, 2020. "Digital Analytics: Modeling for Insights and New Methods," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 26-43.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ma, Liye & Sun, Baohong, 2020. "Machine learning and AI in marketing – Connecting computing power to human insights," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 481-504.
    2. James Agarwal & Wayne DeSarbo & Naresh K. Malhotra & Vithala Rao, 2015. "An Interdisciplinary Review of Research in Conjoint Analysis: Recent Developments and Directions for Future Research," Customer Needs and Solutions, Springer;Institute for Sustainable Innovation and Growth (iSIG), vol. 2(1), pages 19-40, March.
    3. Srinivasan, V. Seenu & Netzer, Oded, 2007. "Adaptive Self-Explication of Multi-attribute Preferences," Research Papers 1979, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    4. Dongling Huang & Lan Luo, 2016. "Consumer Preference Elicitation of Complex Products Using Fuzzy Support Vector Machine Active Learning," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 445-464, May.
    5. Hauser, John R., 2014. "Consideration-set heuristics," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(8), pages 1688-1699.
    6. Olivier Toubia & Eric Johnson & Theodoros Evgeniou & Philippe Delquié, 2013. "Dynamic Experiments for Estimating Preferences: An Adaptive Method of Eliciting Time and Risk Parameters," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(3), pages 613-640, June.
    7. Wang, Xin (Shane) & Ryoo, Jun Hyun (Joseph) & Bendle, Neil & Kopalle, Praveen K., 2021. "The role of machine learning analytics and metrics in retailing research," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 97(4), pages 658-675.
    8. Denis Sauré & Juan Pablo Vielma, 2019. "Ellipsoidal Methods for Adaptive Choice-Based Conjoint Analysis," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 315-338, March.
    9. Dimitris Bertsimas & Allison O'Hair, 2013. "Learning Preferences Under Noise and Loss Aversion: An Optimization Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(5), pages 1190-1199, October.
    10. David Besanko & Sachin Gupta & Dipak Jain, 1998. "Logit Demand Estimation Under Competitive Pricing Behavior: An Equilibrium Framework," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(11-Part-1), pages 1533-1547, November.
    11. Eggers, Felix & Sattler, Henrik, 2009. "Hybrid individualized two-level choice-based conjoint (HIT-CBC): A new method for measuring preference structures with many attribute levels," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 108-118.
    12. Alina Ferecatu & Arnaud Bruyn & Prithwiraj Mukherjee, 2024. "Silently killing your panelists one email at a time: The true cost of email solicitations," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1216-1239, July.
    13. Raluca M. Ursu & Qingliang Wang & Pradeep K. Chintagunta, 2020. "Search Duration," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(5), pages 849-871, September.
    14. Gui Liberali & Alina Ferecatu, 2022. "Morphing for Consumer Dynamics: Bandits Meet Hidden Markov Models," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(4), pages 769-794, July.
    15. Pedro M. Gardete & Carlos D. Santos, 2020. "No data? No problem! A Search-based Recommendation System with Cold Starts," Papers 2010.03455, arXiv.org.
    16. Guofang Huang, 2020. "When to haggle, when to hold firm? Lessons from the used‐car retail market," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 579-604, July.
    17. Jeffrey D. Camm & James J. Cochran & David J. Curry & Sriram Kannan, 2006. "Conjoint Optimization: An Exact Branch-and-Bound Algorithm for the Share-of-Choice Problem," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(3), pages 435-447, March.
    18. Hana Choi & Carl F. Mela & Santiago R. Balseiro & Adam Leary, 2020. "Online Display Advertising Markets: A Literature Review and Future Directions," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 31(2), pages 556-575, June.
    19. Nikhil Bhat & Vivek F. Farias & Ciamac C. Moallemi & Deeksha Sinha, 2020. "Near-Optimal A-B Testing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(10), pages 4477-4495, October.
    20. Elea McDonnell Feit & Ron Berman, 2019. "Test & Roll: Profit-Maximizing A/B Tests," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(6), pages 1038-1058, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:65:y:2019:i:7:p:3235-3254. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.