IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ormksc/v1y1982i2p123-141.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling Retail Customer Behavior at Merrill Lynch

Author

Listed:
  • Donald G. Morrison

    (Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

  • Richard D. H. Chen

    (Marketing Evaluation Department, Merrill Lynch, One Liberty Plaza, New York, New York 10080)

  • Sandra L. Karpis

    (Marketing Evaluation Department, Merrill Lynch, One Liberty Plaza, New York, New York 10080)

  • Kathryn E. A. Britney

    (Marketing Evaluation Department, Merrill Lynch, One Liberty Plaza, New York, New York 10080)

Abstract

A two state Markov chain model is used to describe and forecast the over time behavior of the best retail customers at Merrill Lynch. This model has 4 behaviorally meaningful parameters which capture the effect of recently being a prime customer, the differing average commissions generated across customers and the exiting of some of these customers from the Merrill Lynch system. This model helps management to understand the dynamics of the prime customers' behavior. In particular, the forecasts generated by the model allow for better analyses of possible strategies for providing special services for these very good customers. The model which was developed with 1976–1979 data is validated against the actual 1980 behavior of Merrill Lynch customers.

Suggested Citation

  • Donald G. Morrison & Richard D. H. Chen & Sandra L. Karpis & Kathryn E. A. Britney, 1982. "Modelling Retail Customer Behavior at Merrill Lynch," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 123-141.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormksc:v:1:y:1982:i:2:p:123-141
    DOI: 10.1287/mksc.1.2.123
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mksc.1.2.123
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/mksc.1.2.123?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Peter S. Fader & Bruce G. S. Hardie & Jen Shang, 2010. "Customer-Base Analysis in a Discrete-Time Noncontractual Setting," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 29(6), pages 1086-1108, 11-12.
    2. Audzeyeva, Alena & Summers, Barbara & Schenk-Hoppé, Klaus Reiner, 2012. "Forecasting customer behaviour in a multi-service financial organisation: A profitability perspective," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 507-518.
    3. Ekinci, Yeliz & Ülengin, Füsun & Uray, Nimet & Ülengin, Burç, 2014. "Analysis of customer lifetime value and marketing expenditure decisions through a Markovian-based model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(1), pages 278-288.
    4. Yeliz Ekinci & Füsun Ulengin & Nimet Uray, 2014. "Using customer lifetime value to plan optimal promotions," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 103-122, January.
    5. Fader, Peter S. & Hardie, Bruce G.S., 2009. "Probability Models for Customer-Base Analysis," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 61-69.
    6. Hans Buhl & Martin Gneiser & Julia Heidemann, 2009. "Ein modelltheoretischer Ansatz zur Planung von Investitionen in Kundenbeziehungen," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 175-195, October.
    7. Hans Buhl & Robert Klein & Johannes Kolb & Andrea Landherr, 2011. "CR 2 M—an approach for capacity control considering long-term effects on the value of a customer for the company," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 187-204, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormksc:v:1:y:1982:i:2:p:123-141. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.