IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/imx/journl/v9y2014i2p153-173.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysts Target Price Accuracy and Investors' Reaction: Chilean Stock Market Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge Gregoire

    (Facultad de Economía y Negocios, Universidad de Chile)

  • Francisco Marcet

    (Facultad de Economía y Negocios, Universidad de Chile)

Abstract

El principal objetivo de este trabajo es estimar el grado de precisión que tiene los analistas de títulos accionarios en Chile. El estudio busca mostrar evidencia acerca de una directa relación entre el grado de precisión de los analistas y la presencia de retornos anormales en el dÌa del mundo de un nuevo precio objetivo (PO). Los principales resultados reflejan que los analistas no poseen un grado de precisión elevado. solo el 26.2% de los POs lanzados al mercado fueron exitosos. Además, se encuentra evidencia de retornos anormales en el dÌa del anuncio de un nuevo PO cuando este sorprende al mercado.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Gregoire & Francisco Marcet, 2014. "Analysts Target Price Accuracy and Investors' Reaction: Chilean Stock Market Evidence," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 9(2), pages 153-173, Julio-Dic.
  • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:9:y:2014:i:2:p:153-173
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/article/view/60/105
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Womack, Kent L, 1996. "Do Brokerage Analysts' Recommendations Have Investment Value?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 137-167, March.
    2. Roger K. Loh & René M. Stulz, 2011. "When Are Analyst Recommendation Changes Influential?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(2), pages 593-627.
    3. repec:bla:jfinan:v:58:y:2003:i:5:p:1933-1968 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Kim, Woojin, 2006. "Value of analyst recommendations: International evidence," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 274-309, August.
    5. Huang, Joshua & Mujtaba Mian, G. & Sankaraguruswamy, Srinivasan, 2009. "The value of combining the information content of analyst recommendations and target prices," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 754-777, November.
    6. Asquith, Paul & Mikhail, Michael B. & Au, Andrea S., 2005. "Information content of equity analyst reports," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 245-282, February.
    7. Moshirian, Fariborz & Ng, David & Wu, Eliza, 2009. "The value of stock analysts' recommendations: Evidence from emerging markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 74-83, March.
    8. Hall, Jason L. & Tacon, Paul B., 2010. "Forecast accuracy and stock recommendations," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 18-33.
    9. Stefano Bonini & Laura Zanetti & Roberto Bianchini & Antonio Salvi, 2010. "Target Price Accuracy in Equity Research," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(9‐10), pages 1177-1217, November.
    10. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed Bouteska & Mehdi Mili, 2022. "Does corporate governance affect financial analysts’ stock recommendations, target prices accuracy and earnings forecast characteristics? An empirical investigation of US companies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 2125-2171, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jorge Gregoire & Francisco Marcet, 2014. "Analysts Target Price Accuracy and Investors' Reaction: Chilean Stock Market Evidence," Remef - The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance, Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas. Remef, October.
    2. R. Bellando & Z. Ben Braham & S. Galanti, 2016. "The profitability of financial analysts’ recommendations: evidence from an emerging market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(46), pages 4410-4418, October.
    3. Jan Klobucnik & Daniel Kreutzmann & Soenke Sievers & Stefan Kanne, 2012. "To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals," Cologne Graduate School Working Paper Series 03-03, Cologne Graduate School in Management, Economics and Social Sciences.
    4. Raphaëlle Bellando & Zahra Ben Braham & Sébastien Galanti, 2014. "The Performance of Portfolios Based on Analysts' Recommendations: the Tunisian Case," Working Papers hal-01405332, HAL.
    5. Zahra Ben Braham & Sébastien Galanti, 2014. "Recommendation Value on an Emerging Market: the Impact of Analyst' Recommendations on Stock Prices and Trading Volumes in Tunisia," Working Papers halshs-01015380, HAL.
    6. Stefan Kanne & Jan Klobucnik & Daniel Kreutzmann & Soenke Sievers, 2012. "To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 26(4), pages 405-428, December.
    7. Sébastien GALANTI & Zahra BEN BRAHAM, 2013. "Recommendation Value on an Emerging Market: the Impact of Financial Analysts Recommendations on Stock Price and Trading Volume in Tunisia," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 1393, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    8. Hanousek, Jan & Kopřiva, František, 2013. "Do broker/analyst conflicts matter? Detecting evidence from internet trading platforms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 86-92.
    9. Daniel Arand & Alexander Kerl & Andreas Walter, 2015. "When Do Sell†side Analyst Reports Really Matter? Shareholder Protection, Institutional Investors and the Informativeness of Equity Research," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 21(3), pages 524-555, June.
    10. Hiren Patel, 2021. "Target Price Achievement and Target Price Accuracy Models: An Analysis of Advisory Firms’ Recommendation for the Indian Banking Stocks," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(2), pages 459-473, April.
    11. Christoph Lohrmann & Alena Lohrmann, 2021. "Accuracy and Predictive Power of Sell-Side Target Prices for Global Clean Energy Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-27, November.
    12. Devos, Erik & Hao, Wei & Prevost, Andrew K. & Wongchoti, Udomsak, 2015. "Stock return synchronicity and the market response to analyst recommendation revisions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 376-389.
    13. Mark T. Bradshaw & Alan G. Huang & Hongping Tan, 2019. "The Effects of Analyst‐Country Institutions on Biased Research: Evidence from Target Prices," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(1), pages 85-120, March.
    14. Lily Fang & Ayako Yasuda, 2014. "Are Stars’ Opinions Worth More? The Relation Between Analyst Reputation and Recommendation Values," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 46(3), pages 235-269, December.
    15. Charitou, Andreas & Karamanou, Irene & Lambertides, Neophytos, 2019. "Analysts to the rescue?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 108-128.
    16. Hobbs, Jeffrey & Kovacs, Tunde & Sharma, Vivek, 2012. "The investment value of the frequency of analyst recommendation changes for the ordinary investor," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 94-108.
    17. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Information uncertainty, investor sentiment, and analyst reports," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    18. Samie Ahmed Sayed, 2016. "Are Stars Worth Following? Measuring the Target Price Predictive Ability of Star Analysts in an Emerging Market," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 5(2), pages 173-185, July.
    19. Marinelli, Carlo & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2014. "On the relation between forecast precision and trading profitability of financial analysts," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 39-60.
    20. Peng W. He & Andrew Grant & Joel Fabre, 2013. "Economic value of analyst recommendations in Australia: an application of the Black–Litterman asset allocation model," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 53(2), pages 441-470, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:9:y:2014:i:2:p:153-173. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ricardo Mendoza (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/index .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.