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The value of combining the information content of analyst recommendations and target prices

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  • Huang, Joshua
  • Mujtaba Mian, G.
  • Sankaraguruswamy, Srinivasan

Abstract

In assessing the usefulness of the analysts' stock picking advice, the extant literature has largely focused on the profitability of either their stock recommendations or target prices in isolation. In this paper, we examine the profitability of investment strategies that exploit the information analysts convey through revisions in both their stock recommendations and target prices. We find that these strategies significantly outperform the comparable strategies that make use of only one analyst output.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Joshua & Mujtaba Mian, G. & Sankaraguruswamy, Srinivasan, 2009. "The value of combining the information content of analyst recommendations and target prices," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 754-777, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:12:y:2009:i:4:p:754-777
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Gregoire & Francisco Marcet, 2014. "Analysts Target Price Accuracy and Investors' Reaction: Chilean Stock Market Evidence," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 9(2), pages 153-173, Julio-Dic.
    2. Reveley Callum & Shanaev Savva & Bin Yu & Panta Humnath & Ghimire Binam, 2023. "Analyst herding—whether, why, and when? Two new tests for herding detection in target forecast prices," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 9(4), pages 25-55, December.
    3. R. Bellando & Z. Ben Braham & S. Galanti, 2016. "The profitability of financial analysts’ recommendations: evidence from an emerging market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(46), pages 4410-4418, October.
    4. Gerritsen, Dirk F. & Weitzel, Utz, 2017. "Security analyst target prices as reference point and takeover completion," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 1-14.
    5. Marinelli, Carlo & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2014. "On the relation between forecast precision and trading profitability of financial analysts," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 39-60.
    6. Raphaëlle Bellando & Zahra Ben Braham & Sébastien Galanti, 2014. "The Performance of Portfolios Based on Analysts' Recommendations: the Tunisian Case," Working Papers hal-01405332, HAL.
    7. Osman Yukselturk & Jon Tucker, 2015. "The impact of analyst sentiment on UK stock recommendations and target prices," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(6-7), pages 869-904, December.
    8. Ho, Tuan & Nguyen, Yen & Parikh, Bhavik & Vo, Dinh-Tri, 2020. "Does foreign exchange risk matter to equity research analysts when forecasting stock prices? Evidence from U.S. firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    9. Peter Clarkson & Alexander Nekrasov & Andreas Simon & Irene Tutticci, 2020. "Target price forecasts: The roles of the 52‐week high price and recent investor sentiment," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(9-10), pages 1365-1399, October.
    10. Zahra Ben Braham & Sébastien Galanti, 2014. "Recommendation Value on an Emerging Market: the Impact of Analyst' Recommendations on Stock Prices and Trading Volumes in Tunisia," Working Papers halshs-01015380, HAL.
    11. Sébastien GALANTI & Zahra BEN BRAHAM, 2013. "Recommendation Value on an Emerging Market: the Impact of Financial Analysts Recommendations on Stock Price and Trading Volume in Tunisia," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 1393, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    12. Kucheev, Yury O. & Sorensson, Tomas, 2019. "The seasonality in sell-side analysts’ recommendations," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 162-168.
    13. Markus Buxbaum & Wolfgang Schultze & Samuel L. Tiras, 2023. "Do analysts’ target prices stabilize the stock market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 763-816, October.
    14. Jorge Gregoire & Francisco Marcet, 2014. "Analysts Target Price Accuracy and Investors' Reaction: Chilean Stock Market Evidence," Remef - The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance, Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas. Remef, October.
    15. Gerritsen, Dirk F., 2015. "Security analysts’ target prices and takeover premiums," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 205-213.
    16. Jan Klobucnik & Daniel Kreutzmann & Soenke Sievers & Stefan Kanne, 2012. "To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals," Cologne Graduate School Working Paper Series 03-03, Cologne Graduate School in Management, Economics and Social Sciences.
    17. Hiren Patel, 2021. "Target Price Achievement and Target Price Accuracy Models: An Analysis of Advisory Firms’ Recommendation for the Indian Banking Stocks," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(2), pages 459-473, April.
    18. Stefan Kanne & Jan Klobucnik & Daniel Kreutzmann & Soenke Sievers, 2012. "To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 26(4), pages 405-428, December.

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