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Strategies in Retirement Fund Selection in the Mexican Retirement Market 1997-2018

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Raúl Rodríguez-Reyes

    (Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Occidente, México)

  • Angel Samaniego

    (Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Occidente, México)

  • Mireya Pasillas

    (Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Occidente, México)

Abstract

Objetivo: Se analizan varias estrategias de inversión para elegir una administradora de ahorro para el retiro (AFORE), proporcionando evidencia que pueda orientar a trabajadores y gobierno a elevar la tasa de reemplazo. Metodología: Para lograr el objetivo se simulan más de doscientas mil decisiones individuales en ventanas móviles, con base en más de veinte años de precios de mercado de fondos de retiro en México (1997-2018). Resultados: Las simulaciones indican que las estrategias contrarias dominan a las estrategias momentum en tres de las cuatro categorías de fondos. Recomendaciones: En dos de las cuatro categorías de fondos, el rendimiento más alto se alcanza con el promedio del sistema, por ello se propone la creación de un producto tipo ETF en el mercado mexicano. Originalidad: La novedad de esta investigación reside en la perspectiva del análisis, en la que se posiciona al trabajador mexicano en el rol de inversionista tomando una decisión financiera. Conclusiones: El retorno promedio máximo es la mejor forma de seleccionar una AFORE cuando existe una pensión mínima garantizada, que actúa como cobertura de riesgo, como es el caso mexicano.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Raúl Rodríguez-Reyes & Angel Samaniego & Mireya Pasillas, 2021. "Strategies in Retirement Fund Selection in the Mexican Retirement Market 1997-2018," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(TNEA), pages 1-16, Septiembr.
    • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:16:y:2021:i:tnea:a:7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    AFORE; Contribución Definida; Estrategia Contraria; Estrategia Momentum;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • J32 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits; Retirement Plans; Private Pensions

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