IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/imx/journl/v16y2021i3a9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Informality, Gender Employment Gap, and COVID-19 in Mexico: Identifying Persistence and Dynamic Structural Effects

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge O. Moreno

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, México, México)

  • Cecilia Y. Cuellar

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, México, México)

Abstract

El objetivo es analizar el impacto de la pandemia del COVID-19 en la dinámica del mercado laboral mexicano (empleo formal-informal) por género. Se construyen series de tiempo microfundamentales consistentes desde 1987:Q1 hasta 2019:Q4 utilizando las encuestas de empleo urbanas mexicanas, y se estima un modelo VAR que vincula la producción agregada y cada segmento del mercado. Nuestros resultados sugieren que hay efectos adversos significativos en el empleo formal como resultado de la pandemia del COVID-19, con una larga recuperación del empleo para las mujeres y los hombres. El sector informal, en ambos sexos, presenta una respuesta pronosticada menor al choque de producción inicial, pero pérdidas sustanciales de empleo observadas, potencialmente vinculadas a cambios estructurales en el mercado. En la crisis de COVID-19, el sector informal no es un sustituto de las pérdidas de empleo formal. La complejidad de esta crisis sugiere la elaboración de políticas que mejoren la facilidad del mercado para potenciar la recuperación del empleo formal al tiempo que se promueve la igualdad de género. Nuestra principal contribución es estimar las diversas pérdidas de empleo por segmentos y un cambio estructural crítico en la dinámica del mercado laboral resultante de la pandemia de COVID-19, centrando el análisis en el empleo urbano.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge O. Moreno & Cecilia Y. Cuellar, 2021. "Informality, Gender Employment Gap, and COVID-19 in Mexico: Identifying Persistence and Dynamic Structural Effects," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(3), pages 1-25, Julio - S.
    • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:16:y:2021:i:3:a:9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/article/view/636
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maloney, William F., 2004. "Informality Revisited," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1159-1178, July.
    2. AKKEMIK, K. Ali, 2007. "The Response Of Employment To Gdp Growth In Turkey: An Econometric Estimation," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 7(1).
    3. Jaime J. Escobedo González & Jorge O. Moreno Treviño, 2020. "Transición y persistencia en el ciclo formal-informal en México: El papel del capital humano," Revista de Economía Laboral - Spanish Journal of Labour Economics, Asociación Española de Economía Laboral - AEET, vol. 17, pages 1-45.
    4. Alcaraz Carlo, 2009. "Informal and Formal Labour Flexibility in Mexico," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, September.
    5. Islas-Camargo, Alejandro & Cortez, Willy W., 2011. "Revisiting Okun's law for Mexico: an analysis of the permanent and transitory components of unemployment and output," MPRA Paper 30026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Florencia Pedroni, 2023. "Firm informality during the COVID-19 crisis in Argentina: perception of commercial entrepreneurs and public accountants," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, vol. 39(166), pages 24-36, March.
    2. Cuellar, Cecilia Y. & Moreno, Jorge O., 2022. "Employment, wages, and the gender gap in Mexico: Evidence of three decades of the urban labor market," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(2).
    3. Oliver Cruz-Milan & Sergio Lagunas-Puls, 2021. "Effects of COVID-19 on Variations of Taxpayers in Tourism-Reliant Regions: The Case of the Mexican Caribbean," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-23, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cuellar, Cecilia Y. & Moreno, Jorge O., 2022. "Employment, wages, and the gender gap in Mexico: Evidence of three decades of the urban labor market," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(2).
    2. Alcaraz Carlo & Chiquiar Daniel & Salcedo Alejandrina, 2015. "Informality and Segmentation in the Mexican Labor Market," Working Papers 2015-25, Banco de México.
    3. Bazdresch Santiago, 2018. "Finance and Employment Formalization: Evidence from Mexico's ENIGH, 2000-2016," Working Papers 2018-14, Banco de México.
    4. Antonio Andres & Carlyn Ramlogan-Dobson, 2011. "Is Corruption Really Bad for Inequality? Evidence from Latin America," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(7), pages 959-976.
    5. Osuagwu, Eze Simpson & Hsu, Sara & Adesola, Ololade, 2021. "The impact of Microfinance Institutions on the Informal Economy in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 112947, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Josip Franic, 2019. "Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 21(1), pages 5-46, June.
    7. Isabelle Guérin & Bert D'Espallier & G. Venkatasubramanian, 2015. "The Social Regulation of Markets: Why Microcredit Fails to Promote Jobs in Rural South India," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 46(6), pages 1277-1301, November.
    8. Flórez, Luz A., 2017. "Informal sector under saving: A positive analysis of labour market policies," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 13-26.
    9. Brian McCaig & Nina Pavcnik, 2015. "Informal Employment in a Growing and Globalizing Low-Income Country," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 545-550, May.
    10. Jacek Liwiński, 2022. "Informal employment and wages in Poland," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 44(6), pages 1196-1220, January.
    11. Leora Klapper & Raphael Amit & Mauro F. Guillén, 2010. "Entrepreneurship and Firm Formation across Countries," NBER Chapters, in: International Differences in Entrepreneurship, pages 129-158, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Calderón, Valentina & Marinescu, Ioana, 2011. "The Impact of Colombia's Pension and Health Insurance Systems on Informality," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 3831, Inter-American Development Bank.
    13. García Cruz Gustavo Adolfo, 2008. "Informalidad regional en Colombia. Evidencia y Determinantes," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, February.
    14. Estefanía Galván, 2022. "Gender Identity and Quality of Employment," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 89(354), pages 409-436, April.
    15. John Rand, 2017. "Comparing estimated and self-reported markups for formal and informal firms in an emerging market context," WIDER Working Paper Series 160, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Ana Maria Bonomi Barufi & Eduardo A. Haddad, Peter Nijkamp, 2016. "New evidence on the wage curve: non-linearities, urban size, and spatial scale in Brazil," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2016_39, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    17. Gasparini, Leonardo & Arcidiácono, Malena & Carella, Laura & Puig, Jorge & Gluzmann, Pablo & Brassiolo, Pablo, 2015. "El empleo público en América Latina. Evidencia de las encuestas de hogares," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(328), pages .749-784, octubre-d.
    18. Yusuf Soner Baskaya & Timur Hulagu, 2011. "Informal-Formal Worker Wage Gap in Turkey : Evidence From A Semi-Parametric Approach," Working Papers 1115, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    19. Ligita Gasparėnienė & Rita Remeikienė & Colin C. Williams, 2022. "Unemployment and the Informal Economy," SpringerBriefs in Economics, Springer, number 978-3-030-96687-4, September.
    20. Hartmut Lehmann, 2015. "Informal Employment in Transition Countries: Empirical Evidence and Research Challenges," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 57(1), pages 1-30, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; informality; gender gap employment; Mexico; impulse response function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J82 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards - - - Labor Force Composition

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:16:y:2021:i:3:a:9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ricardo Mendoza (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/index .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.