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Currency crisis duration and interest defence

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  • Tullio Gregori

    (Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Trieste, Italy)

Abstract

Asymmetric wars of attrition between speculators and a Central Bank can provide a useful framework to address currency crisis length and explain why a speculative attack can fail after some time. Interest rate defence can be analysed too. A non-linear relationship between interest rates and peg defence emerges, as a rate upsurge can reduce both concession times. With some welfare loss functions, increasing the domestic rate too much is a self-defeating policy as the Central Bank will opt out before speculators concede, but the reverse holds for lower rates. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Tullio Gregori, 2009. "Currency crisis duration and interest defence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 256-267.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:14:y:2009:i:3:p:256-267
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.372
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