Global Confidence, Uncertainty, and Business Cycles
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Stephane Dees & Pedro Soares Brinca, 2013.
"Consumer confidence as a predictor of consumption spending: Evidence for the United States and the Euro area,"
International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 134, pages 1-14.
- Dées, Stéphane & Soares Brinca, Pedro, 2011. "Consumer confidence as a predictor of consumption spending: evidence for the United States and the euro area," Working Paper Series 1349, European Central Bank.
- Bryan Kelly & Ľuboš Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2016.
"The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(5), pages 2417-2480, October.
- Veronesi, Pietro & Pástor, Luboš & Kelly, Bryan, 2014. "The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 9822, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bryan Kelly & Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market," NBER Working Papers 19812, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bas Aarle & Cindy Moons, 2017. "Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 225-251, November.
- Husted, Lucas & Rogers, John & Sun, Bo, 2020.
"Monetary policy uncertainty,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 20-36.
- Lucas F. Husted & John H. Rogers & Bo Sun, 2017. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1215, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Colombo, Valentina, 2013.
"Economic policy uncertainty in the US: Does it matter for the Euro area?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 39-42.
- Valentina Colombo, 2013. "Economic policy uncertainty in the US: Does it matter for the Euro Area?," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0160, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Dées, Stephane & Zimic, Srečko, 2019.
"Animal spirits, fundamental factors and business cycle fluctuations,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Dées, Stéphane & Zimic, Srečko, 2016. "Animal spirits, fundamental factors and business cycle fluctuations," Working Paper Series 1953, European Central Bank.
- Stephane Dees & Srecko Zimic, 2019. "Animal spirits, fundamental factors and business cycle fluctuations," Post-Print hal-03285242, HAL.
- Mark Gertler & Peter Karadi, 2015.
"Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs, and Economic Activity,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 44-76, January.
- Mark Gertler & Peter Karadi, 2013. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs and Economic Activity," NBER Chapters, in: Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gertler, Mark & Karadi, Peter, 2014. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs and Economic Activity," CEPR Discussion Papers 9824, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Peter Karadi & Mark Gertler, 2015. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs, and Economic Activity," 2015 Meeting Papers 447, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mark Gertler & Peter Karadi, 2014. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs and Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 20224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Eickmeier, Sandra, 2007.
"Business cycle transmission from the US to Germany--A structural factor approach,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 521-551, April.
- Eickmeier, Sandra, 2004. "Business Cycle Transmission from the US to Germany: a Structural Factor Approach," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,12, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Leduc, Sylvain & Liu, Zheng, 2016.
"Uncertainty shocks are aggregate demand shocks,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 20-35.
- Sylvain Leduc & Zheng Liu, 2012. "Uncertainty shocks are aggregate demand shocks," Working Paper Series 2012-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Zheng Liu & Sylvain Leduc, 2013. "Uncertainty Shocks Are Aggregate Demand Shocks," 2013 Meeting Papers 270, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jongrim Ha & Inhwan So, 2017. "Which Monetary Shocks Matter in Small Open Economies? Evidence from SVARs," Working Papers 2017-2, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- George A. Akerlof & Robert J. Shiller, 2010. "Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9163.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Arbatli Saxegaard, Elif C. & Davis, Steven J. & Ito, Arata & Miake, Naoko, 2022.
"Policy uncertainty in Japan,"
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Elif C. Arbatli & Steven J. Davis & Arata Ito & Naoko Miake, 2017. "Policy Uncertainty In Japan," NBER Working Papers 23411, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard & Steven J Davis & Arata Ito & Naoko Miake & Ikuo Saito, 2017. "Policy Uncertainty in Japan," IMF Working Papers 2017/128, International Monetary Fund.
- Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2014.
"Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times,"
"Marco Fanno" Working Papers
0188, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n09, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," CESifo Working Paper Series 6630, CESifo.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Nodari, Gabriela, 2017. "Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Rivolta, Giulia & Trecroci, Carmine, 2020. "Measuring the effects of U.S. uncertainty and monetary conditions on EMEs' macroeconomic dynamics," MPRA Paper 99403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021.
"Bayesian State‐Space Modeling for Analyzing Heterogeneous Network Effects of US Monetary Policy,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 123(4), pages 1261-1291, October.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2019. "Bayesian state-space modeling for analyzing heterogeneous network effects of US monetary policy," Papers 1911.06206, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
- Pfarrhofer, Michael & Niko , Hauzenberger, 2019. "Bayesian state-space modeling for analyzing heterogeneous network effects of US monetary policy," Working Papers in Economics 2019-6, University of Salzburg.
- Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2022. "Uncertainty in an emerging market economy: evidence from Thailand," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 933-989, March.
- Costantini, Mauro & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "What uncertainty does to euro area sovereign bond markets: Flight to safety and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Baker, Scott R. & Davis, Steven J. & Levy, Jeffrey A., 2022.
"State-level economic policy uncertainty,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 81-99.
- Scott R. Baker & Steven J. Davis & Jeffrey A. Levy, 2022. "State-Level Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 29714, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Baker, Scott R. & Davis, Steven J. & Levy, Jeffrey A., 2022. "State-Level Economic Policy Uncertainty," IZA Discussion Papers 15156, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Pierluigi Balduzzi & Emanuele Brancati & Marco Brianti & Fabio Schiantarelli, 2019.
"Populism, Political Risk and the Economy: Lessons from Italy,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
989, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 28 Apr 2020.
- Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Brancati, Emanuele & Brianti, Marco & Schiantarelli, Fabio, 2020. "Populism, Political Risk and the Economy: Lessons from Italy," IZA Discussion Papers 12929, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Timmermann, Allan & Burjack, Rafael & Qu, Ritong, 2019. "Fluctuations in Economic Uncertainty and Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence Using Daily Surveys from Brazil," CEPR Discussion Papers 14097, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giovanni Pellegrino, 2021.
"Uncertainty and monetary policy in the US: A journey into nonlinear territory,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(3), pages 1106-1128, July.
- Giovanni Pellegrino, 2015. "Uncertainty And Monetary Policy In The US: A Journey Into Non-Linear Territory," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0184, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Giovanni Pellegrino, 2020. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Economics Working Papers 2020-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n06, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Lambe, Brendan & Li, Zhiyong & Qin, Weiping, 2022. "Uncertain times and the insider perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Jongrim Ha & Seohyun Lee & Inhwan So, 2022. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Evidence from Geopolitical Swings on the Korean Peninsula," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 21-56, February.
- Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
- Saud Asaad Al‐Thaqeb & Barrak Ghanim Algharabali & Khaled Tareq Alabdulghafour, 2022. "The pandemic and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2784-2794, July.
- Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021.
"COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Mirela Miescu & Raffaele Rossi, 2020. "COVID-19-Induced Shocks and Uncertainty," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2013, Economics, The University of Manchester, revised Aug 2021.
- Arigoni, Filippo & Lenarčič, Črt, 2020. "The impact of trade policy uncertainty shocks on the Euro Area," MPRA Paper 100832, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Himounet, Nicolas, 2022.
"Searching the nature of uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial risks VS geopolitical and pandemic risks,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1-31.
- Nicolas Himounet, 2021. "Searching for the Nature of Uncertainty: Macroeconomic VS Financial," Working Papers 2021.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
- Ding Dong & Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Min Wei, 2024.
"Inflation Disagreement Weakens the Power of Monetary Policy,"
Working Paper Series
2024-27, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Ding Dong & Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Min Wei, 2024. "Inflation Disagreement Weakens the Power of Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-094, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Bhattacharyya, Malay, 2019. "Do the emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and financial stress alike?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-19.
More about this item
JEL classification:
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
- F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2023:q:1:a:10. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bank for International Settlements (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.ijcb.org/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.