IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/igg/jabim0/v12y2021i2p16-36.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Commodity Transaction Tax (CTT): Nature of Correlation Dynamics and Volatility Linkages Between Indian Commodity and Equity Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Swamy Perumandla

    (Madanapalle Institute of Technology and Science (MITS), India)

  • Padma Kurisetti

    (National Institute of Technology, Warangal, India)

Abstract

This study aims to examine the time-varying correlations and volatility linkages between commodity and equity markets before and after the implementation of the commodity transaction tax (CTT) in India in 2013. The study utilizes symmetric and asymmetric DCC-EGARCH model to estimate correlation dynamics. Evidence suggests that the volatility and dynamic correlation linkages between commodities and equity markets are significantly affected by the triggering events. The time-varying correlations of Comdex-Nifty 50 show an unintended steep decline in the post-CTT period. It is an indication of a “flight to quality” phenomenon, where investors move capital from non-agricultural commodity futures to other cross markets and international markets. However, DCC of Comdex-Dhaanya pair is highly volatile in the post-CTT period and also noticed an increased correlation and volatility between the Dhaanya-Nifty 50 pair. Moreover, the correlation dynamics reveal a certain degree of interdependence between the cross markets, which are lower especially during the triggering episodes.

Suggested Citation

  • Swamy Perumandla & Padma Kurisetti, 2021. "Commodity Transaction Tax (CTT): Nature of Correlation Dynamics and Volatility Linkages Between Indian Commodity and Equity Markets," International Journal of Asian Business and Information Management (IJABIM), IGI Global, vol. 12(2), pages 16-36, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:igg:jabim0:v:12:y:2021:i:2:p:16-36
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://services.igi-global.com/resolvedoi/resolve.aspx?doi=10.4018/ijabim.20210401.oa2
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Singhal, Shelly & Ghosh, Sajal, 2016. "Returns and volatility linkages between international crude oil price, metal and other stock indices in India: Evidence from VAR-DCC-GARCH models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 276-288.
    2. Pravakar Sahoo, 2008. "Impact of Proposed Commodity Transaction Tax," Working Papers id:1593, eSocialSciences.
    3. Sanjay Sehgal & Tarunika Jain Agrawal, 2019. "Impact of Commodity Transaction Tax on Market Liquidity, Volatility, and Government Revenues: An Empirical Study for India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 44(1), pages 12-29, March.
    4. Lorenzo Cappiello & Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2006. "Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(4), pages 537-572.
    5. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Thorp, Susan, 2013. "Financialization, crisis and commodity correlation dynamics," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 42-65.
    6. Nagayev, Ruslan & Disli, Mustafa & Inghelbrecht, Koen & Ng, Adam, 2016. "On the dynamic links between commodities and Islamic equity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 125-140.
    7. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
    8. Stephan Schulmeister, 2009. "Trading Practices and Price Dynamics in Commodity Markets and the Stabilising Effects of a Transaction Tax," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 34919, January.
    9. Sinha, Pankaj & Mathur, Kritika, 2015. "Impact of Commodities Transaction Tax on Indian Commodity Futures," MPRA Paper 63677, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Sadorsky, Perry, 2014. "Modeling volatility and correlations between emerging market stock prices and the prices of copper, oil and wheat," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 72-81.
    11. Pravakar Sahoo & Rajiv Kumar, 2008. "Impact Of Proposed Commodity Transaction Tax On Futures Trading In India," Finance Working Papers 22239, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    12. Suranjan Bhattacheryay, 2018. "Foreign Direct Investment in India Opportunities and Challenges," International Journal of Asian Business and Information Management (IJABIM), IGI Global, vol. 9(4), pages 1-20, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Soni, Rajat Kumar & Nandan, Tanuj, 2022. "Modeling Covid-19 contagious effect between asset markets and commodity futures in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jin, Jiayu & Han, Liyan & Wu, Lei & Zeng, Hongchao, 2020. "The hedging effectiveness of global sectors in emerging and developed stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 92-117.
    2. Raza, Naveed & Ali, Sajid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Syed Ali, 2018. "Do commodities effectively hedge real estate risk? A multi-scale asymmetric DCC approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 10-29.
    3. Wajdi Hamma & Ahmed Ghorbel & Anis Jarboui, 2021. "Hedging Islamic and conventional stock markets with other financial assets: comparison between competing DCC models on hedging effectiveness," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 179-199, May.
    4. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hasan, Mudassar & Arif, Muhammad & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Oil and gold as a hedge and safe-haven for metals and agricultural commodities with portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    5. Urom, Christian & Anochiwa, Lasbrey & Yuni, Denis & Idume, Gabriel, 2019. "Asymmetric linkages among precious metals, global equity and bond yields: The role of volatility and business cycle factors," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    6. Saif Siddiqui & Preeti Roy, 2019. "Predicting Volatility and Dynamic Relation Between Stock Market, Exchange Rate and Select Commodities," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 67(6), pages 1597-1611.
    7. Pinto-Ávalos, Francisco & Bowe, Michael & Hyde, Stuart, 2024. "Revisiting the pricing impact of commodity market spillovers on equity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    8. Basher, Syed Abul & Sadorsky, Perry, 2016. "Hedging emerging market stock prices with oil, gold, VIX, and bonds: A comparison between DCC, ADCC and GO-GARCH," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 235-247.
    9. Mohamed Yousfi & Abderrazak Dhaoui & Houssam Bouzgarrou, 2021. "Risk Spillover during the COVID-19 Global Pandemic and Portfolio Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-29, May.
    10. Lv, Fei & Yang, Chen & Fang, Libing, 2020. "Do the crude oil futures of the Shanghai International Energy Exchange improve asset allocation of Chinese petrochemical-related stocks?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    11. Raza, Naveed & Ali, Sajid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Salman, Aneel, 2019. "Can alternative hedging assets add value to Islamic-conventional portfolio mix: Evidence from MGARCH models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 210-230.
    12. Chunhachinda, Pornchai & de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina, 2019. "Measuring the hedging effectiveness of commodities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 201-207.
    13. Ordu, Beyza Mina & Oran, Adil & Soytas, Ugur, 2018. "Is food financialized? Yes, but only when liquidity is abundant," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 82-96.
    14. Dutta, Anupam & Bouri, Elie & Noor, Md Hasib, 2021. "Climate bond, stock, gold, and oil markets: Dynamic correlations and hedging analyses during the COVID-19 outbreak," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    15. Jochen Güntner & Benjamin Karner, 2020. "Hedging with commodity futures and the end of normal Backwardation," Economics working papers 2020-21, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    16. Sanjay Sehgal & Tarunika Jain Agrawal, 2019. "Impact of Commodity Transaction Tax on Market Liquidity, Volatility, and Government Revenues: An Empirical Study for India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 44(1), pages 12-29, March.
    17. Riadh Abed & Amna Zardoub, 2019. "On the co-movements among gold and other financial markets: a multivariate time-varying asymmetric approach," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 701-719, October.
    18. Kuruppuarachchi, Duminda & Premachandra, I.M. & Roberts, Helen, 2019. "A novel market efficiency index for energy futures and their term structure risk premiums," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 23-33.
    19. Sarwar, Suleman & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Waheed, Rida & Dastgerdi, Hamidreza Ghorbani, 2019. "Volatility spillovers and hedging: Evidence from Asian oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 479-488.
    20. Guo, Jin, 2018. "Co-movement of international copper prices, China's economic activity, and stock returns: Structural breaks and volatility dynamics," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 62-77.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:igg:jabim0:v:12:y:2021:i:2:p:16-36. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Journal Editor (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.igi-global.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.