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Growth and instability in dairy production and trade: a global analysis

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  • Ramphul Ohlan

Abstract

The study investigates the pattern of growth and instability in the production and trade of dairy products at the global level and in the world leading producers, exporters and importers in the context of the World Trade Organization (WTO) regime using the log linear regression model, decomposition analysis and standard deviation of growth rate. The basic characteristics of the dairy industry in the world leading exporters of dairy products are briefly reviewed. We find that under the WTO regime for the world at large and in most of the leading producers, the growth rate of milk production has increased statistically significantly while its instability has declined. It indicates that high rate of growth in milk production does not cause high instability. Our findings suggest that there is a need for enhancing the domestic dairy production by focusing on improvements in yield and encouraging the processing of milk to meet the fast-growing demand for a large lacto-vegetarian populated country like India.

Suggested Citation

  • Ramphul Ohlan, 2014. "Growth and instability in dairy production and trade: a global analysis," International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(2), pages 145-172.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijtrgm:v:7:y:2014:i:2:p:145-172
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    1. Ramey, Garey & Ramey, Valerie A, 1995. "Cross-Country Evidence on the Link between Volatility and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1138-1151, December.
    2. Martin, Philippe & Ann Rogers, Carol, 2000. "Long-term growth and short-term economic instability," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 359-381, February.
    3. Lee, Jim, 2010. "The link between output growth and volatility: Evidence from a GARCH model with panel data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 106(2), pages 143-145, February.
    4. Jiranyakul, Komain, 2011. "The Link between Output Growth and Output Volatility in Five Crisis-Affected Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 46068, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Govind Pradeep & C. S. Shaijumon & R. Rajkumar & Jayadev Pradeep, 2022. "Methane emissions from dairy farms: case study from a coastal district in South India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 9929-9962, August.

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