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Persistensi Inflasi Di Jakarta dan Implikasinya Terhadap Kebijakan Pengendalian Inflasi Daerah

Author

Listed:
  • Trinil Arimurti

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Budi Trisnanto

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to measure the persistence of inflation level in Jakarta. In addition, this study intends to find out the source of inflation persistence and its implication to regional inflation control. The analysis of the regional inflation behavior developed in this paper is explored to commodities level. The empirical result indicates that the level of inflation persistence in Jakarta is relatively high, stemmed from high level of inflation persistance for most of commodities that construct inflation. Using the estimation results of the hybrid NKPC model, it shows that high inflation persistence in Jakarta mainly caused by inflation expectation, which is a combination of forward and backward looking. In this regards, it requires efforts gradually transform the behavior of inflation expectation to be more forward looking.

Suggested Citation

  • Trinil Arimurti & Budi Trisnanto, 2011. "Persistensi Inflasi Di Jakarta dan Implikasinya Terhadap Kebijakan Pengendalian Inflasi Daerah," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 14(1), pages 5-30, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:14:y:2011:i:1e:p:5-30
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v14i1.76
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jan Babecký & Fabrizio Coricelli & Roman Horváth, 2009. "Assessing Inflation Persistence: Micro Evidence on an Inflation Targeting Economy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 59(2), pages 102-127, June.
    2. Guy Debelle & Jenny Wilkinson, 2002. "Inflation Targeting and the Inflation Process: Some Lessons from an Open Economy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2002-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. Maarten Dossche & Gerdie Everaert, 2005. "Measuring inflation persistence: A structural time series approach," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 85, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation peristence; expectation; NKPC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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