The Prediction Error of the Chain Ladder Method (With Application to Real Data)
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Mario V. Wuthrich & Michael Merz, 2015. "Stochastic Claims Reserving Manual: Advances in Dynamic Modeling," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-34, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Paulo J. R. Pinheiro & João Manuel Andrade e Silva & Maria De Lourdes Centeno, 2003. "Bootstrap Methodology in Claim Reserving," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 70(4), pages 701-714, December.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Gian Paolo Clemente & Nino Savelli & Diego Zappa, 2019. "Modelling Outstanding Claims with Mixed Compound Processes in Insurance," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(3), pages 123-138, March.
- Crevecoeur, Jonas & Antonio, Katrien & Verbelen, Roel, 2019.
"Modeling the number of hidden events subject to observation delay,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 277(3), pages 930-944.
- Jonas Crevecoeur & Katrien Antonio & Roel Verbelen, 2018. "Modeling the number of hidden events subject to observation delay," Papers 1801.02935, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
- Andreas Frohlich & Annegret Weng, 2016. "Parameter uncertainty and reserve risk under Solvency II," Papers 1612.03066, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2017.
- Álvarez-Jareño, José Antonio & Coll-Serrano, Vicente, 2012. "Estimación de reservas en una compañía aseguradora. Una aplicación en Excel del método Chain-Ladder y Bootstrap || Estimating the Reserves in Insurance Companies: An Excel Application of the Chain-Lad," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 14(1), pages 124-136, December.
- Steinmetz, Julia & Jentsch, Carsten, 2024. "Bootstrap consistency for the Mack bootstrap," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 83-121.
- Liivika Tee & Meelis Käärik & Rauno Viin, 2017. "On Comparison of Stochastic Reserving Methods with Bootstrapping," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, January.
- J. Harnau & B. Nielsen, 2017. "Over-dispersed age-period-cohort models," Economics Papers 2017-W06, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Stefano Cavastracci Strascia & Agostino Tripodi, 2018. "Overdispersed-Poisson Model in Claims Reserving: Closed Tool for One-Year Volatility in GLM Framework," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-24, December.
- Badescu, Andrei L. & Lin, X. Sheldon & Tang, Dameng, 2016. "A marked Cox model for the number of IBNR claims: Theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 29-37.
- Richard J. Verrall & Mario V. Wüthrich, 2016. "Understanding Reporting Delay in General Insurance," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-36, July.
- Peters, Gareth W. & Targino, Rodrigo S. & Wüthrich, Mario V., 2017. "Full Bayesian analysis of claims reserving uncertainty," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 41-53.
- Crevecoeur, Jonas & Robben, Jens & Antonio, Katrien, 2022.
"A hierarchical reserving model for reported non-life insurance claims,"
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 158-184.
- Jonas Crevecoeur & Jens Robben & Katrien Antonio, 2019. "A hierarchical reserving model for reported non-life insurance claims," Papers 1910.12692, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
- Gareth W. Peters & Mario V. Wuthrich & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2010. "Chain ladder method: Bayesian bootstrap versus classical bootstrap," Papers 1004.2548, arXiv.org.
- Mathias Lindholm & Ronald Richman & Andreas Tsanakas & Mario V. Wuthrich, 2022. "A Discussion of Discrimination and Fairness in Insurance Pricing," Papers 2209.00858, arXiv.org.
- Klaus Schmidt, 2012. "Loss prediction based on run-off triangles," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(2), pages 265-310, June.
- Wahl, Felix & Lindholm, Mathias & Verrall, Richard, 2019. "The collective reserving model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 34-50.
- László Martinek, 2019. "Analysis of Stochastic Reserving Models By Means of NAIC Claims Data," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-27, June.
- Gao, Guangyuan & Meng, Shengwang & Shi, Yanlin, 2021. "Dispersion modelling of outstanding claims with double Poisson regression models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 572-586.
- Peters, Gareth W. & Wüthrich, Mario V. & Shevchenko, Pavel V., 2010. "Chain ladder method: Bayesian bootstrap versus classical bootstrap," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 36-51, August.
- Fröhlich, Andreas & Weng, Annegret, 2018. "Parameter uncertainty and reserve risk under Solvency II," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 130-141.
More about this item
JEL classification:
- R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
- Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:12:y:2021:i:12:p:14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.