IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibf/ijbfre/v15y2021i1p77-88.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exchange Rate Volatility And Foreign Direct Investment In Selected West African Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Anthony Enisan Akinlo
  • Olufemi Gbenga Onatunji

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the exchange rate volatility-FDI nexus in selected Economic Community of West African Sates (ECOWAS) countries using time series data from 1986-2017. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and Toda-Yamamoto (1995) causality techniques, the effects of exchange rate volatility on FDI and causality relationship between the two are examined. The empirical results show that the estimated coefficient of nominal exchange rate volatility is negative in all the selected countries but significant only in Ghana, Sierra Leone, and Nigeria. Conversely, the effect of real exchange rate volatility is negatively significant as expected, in Nigeria, Togo, Sierra Leone, and Cote d’lvore. However, the effect is positive but statistically insignificant in Ghana and Gambia. Furthermore, the causality test results show unidirectional causality from exchange rate volatility to FDI in all selected countries except in Ghana when the nominal exchange rate is employed. On the other hand, when real exchange rate volatility is employed, there is evidence of bidirectional causality between the two variables only in Nigeria and Sierra Leone.

Suggested Citation

  • Anthony Enisan Akinlo & Olufemi Gbenga Onatunji, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility And Foreign Direct Investment In Selected West African Countries," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 15(1), pages 77-88.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:ijbfre:v:15:y:2021:i:1:p:77-88
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.theibfr2.com/RePEc/ibf/ijbfre/ijbfr-v15n1-2021/IJBFR-V15N1-2021-6.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:bla:manchs:v:70:y:2002:i:3:p:380-97 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Nikolina Kosteletou & Panagiotis Liargovas, 2000. "Foreign Direct Investment and Real Exchange Rate Interlinkages," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 135-148, April.
    3. Goldberg, Linda S & Kolstad, Charles D, 1995. "Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate Variability and Demand Uncertainty," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(4), pages 855-873, November.
    4. Kenneth A. Froot & Jeremy C. Stein, 1991. "Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(4), pages 1191-1217.
    5. Anthony Kyereboah-Coleman & Kwame F. Agyire-Tettey, 2008. "Effect of exchange-rate volatility on foreign direct investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: The case of Ghana," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 9(1), pages 52-70, January.
    6. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    7. Oluremi Ogun & Festus O. Egwaikhide & Eric K. Ogunleye, 2012. "Real Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Some Empirical Results," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(1), pages 175-202, January-J.
    8. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    9. Isabel Cristina Ruiz, 2005. "Exchange Rate as a Determinant of Foreign Direct Investment: Does it Really Matter? Theorical Aspects, Literature Review and Applied Proposal," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 5431, Universidad EAFIT.
    10. Peter Pedroni, 1999. "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(S1), pages 653-670, November.
    11. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    12. Kozo Kiyota & Shujiro Urata, 2004. "Exchange Rate, Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(10), pages 1501-1536, November.
    13. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Hajilee, Massomeh, 2013. "Exchange rate volatility and its impact on domestic investment," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 1-12.
    14. Isabel Cristina Ruiz, 2005. "Exchange Rate as a Determinant of Foreign Direct Investment: Does it Really Matter? Theoretical Aspects, Literature Review and Applied Proposal," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, October.
    15. Mekbib Gebretsadik Haile & Geoff Pugh, 2013. "Does exchange rate volatility discourage international trade? A meta-regression analysis," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 321-350, April.
    16. Azzouzi Asmae & Bousselhami Ahmed, 2019. "Impact of the Exchange Rate and Price Volatility on FDI Inflows: Case of Morocco and Turkey," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(3), pages 87-104, May.
    17. Osei-Fosu & Baba Insah Anthony & Ofori-Boateng Kenneth, 2015. "Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: The Ghanaian Experience," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 4(6), pages 336-344.
    18. Holger Görg & Katharine Wakelin, 2002. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on US Direct Investment," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 70(3), pages 380-397, June.
    19. Ndikumana, Leonce & Verick, Sher, 2008. "The Linkages between FDI and Domestic Investment: Unravelling the Developmental Impact of Foreign Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa," IZA Discussion Papers 3296, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    20. repec:bla:obuest:v:61:y:1999:i:0:p:653-70 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Lukman O. Oyelami & Dauda O. Yinusa, 2014. "Exchange rate volatility and sectoral analysis of foreign direct investment inflows in Nigeria (1970-2009)," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(3), pages 296-308.
    22. repec:bla:devpol:v:26:y:2008:i:6:p:713-726 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Campa, Joe Manuel, 1993. "Entry by Foreign Firms in the United States under Exchange Rate Uncertainty," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(4), pages 614-622, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sakli Hniya & Ahlem Boubker & Fatma Mrad & Sawssen Nafti, 2021. "The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Tunisia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 52-67.
    2. Warren Moraghen & Boopen Seetanah & Noor Sookia, 2019. "Explaining Heterogeneity in the Effect of the Exchange Rate and Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment: A Meta‐Analysis Approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(3), pages 275-291, September.
    3. Matthias Busse & Carsten Hefeker & Signe Nelgen, 2013. "Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Regimes," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 843-858.
    4. Schmidt, Christian W. & Broll, Udo, 2008. "The effect of exchange rate risk on U.S. foreign direct investment: An empirical analysis," MPRA Paper 10713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Arbeláez, Harvey & Ruiz, Isabel, 2013. "Macroeconomic antecedents to U.S. investment in Latin America," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(3), pages 439-447.
    6. Lord Mensah & Godfred Alufar Bokpin & Eric Dei Fosu-Hene, 2017. "Foreign exchange rate moments and FDI in Ghana," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(1), pages 136-152, January.
    7. Christian Schmidt & Udo Broll, 2009. "Real exchange-rate uncertainty and US foreign direct investment: an empirical analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 145(3), pages 513-530, October.
    8. Warren Moraghen & Boopen Seetanah & Noor Sookia, 2021. "Impact of exchange rate and exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment inflow for Mauritius: A dynamic time series approach," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(4), pages 581-591, December.
    9. David Greasley & Les Oxley, 2010. "Cliometrics And Time Series Econometrics: Some Theory And Applications," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(5), pages 970-1042, December.
    10. Syarifuddin, Ferry, 2020. "The Dynamics of Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rates: An Interconnection Approach in ASEAN," MPRA Paper 104596, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Balaban, Suzana & Živkov, Dejan & Milenković, Ivan, 2019. "Impact of an unexplained component of real exchange rate volatility on FDI: Evidence from transition countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
    12. Zainab Jehan & Azooba Hamid, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and capital inflows: role of financial development," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 189-203, December.
    13. Shi Li & Hironobu Nakagawa, 2022. "Exchange rates and foreign direct investment: Evidence from Chinese firm‐level data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(9), pages 2902-2923, September.
    14. Ni, Shawn & Ratti, Ronald A., 2009. "Heterogeneous parameter uncertainty and the timing of investment during crisis," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-22.
    15. Hermann Sintim-Aboagye & Chandana Chakraborty & Serapio Byekwaso, 2017. "Foreign Capital Flows, Uncertainties of Exchange Rates and Central Bank Independence: Implications for Emerging Economies," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 45(4), pages 485-496, December.
    16. Takagi, Shinji & Shi, Zongying, 2011. "Exchange rate movements and foreign direct investment (FDI): Japanese investment in Asia, 1987–2008," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 265-272.
    17. Burçak Polat & Cem Payaslıoğlu, 2016. "Exchange rate uncertainty and FDI inflows: the case of Turkey," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 112-129, March.
    18. Osinubi, T. S. & Amaghionyeodiwe, L. A, 2009. "Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(2).
    19. Nicholas Apergis & Dimitrios Asteriou & Kalliroi Papathoma, 2013. "The Explanatory Variables of Outward Foreign Direct Investment: Panel Evidence," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 4(4), pages 207-215, July.
    20. Cushman, David O. & De Vita, Glauco, 2017. "Exchange rate regimes and FDI in developing countries: A propensity score matching approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 143-163.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rates Volatility; Foreign Direct Investment; Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model; Economic Community of West African States;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F39 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Other

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibf:ijbfre:v:15:y:2021:i:1:p:77-88. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mercedes Jalbert The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Mercedes Jalbert to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.